Yazata:
You seem almost annoyed that I responded to you fully and honestly. In return, it seems that you have ignored the second half of my response to you entirely; at least there's no evidence in your latest reply that you read any of that. I think it's more likely that you did read it, but you don't want to reply to it because it's inconvenient for your position and you'd rather not address those matters. Again, this doesn't reflect well on you.
As it happens, I did watch the part where Kirkpatrick made the comments previously and extensively quoted here, regarding the "metallic orbs".
Does it matter? Is there something you want to bring up from some other part of his presentation - or something else from the NASA panel in general? I'm willing to take a look at something specific, if you want to refer me to a video and a specific timestamp.
Your calling me evil because I have little patience left for MR's dishonest little games, after years of dealing with his troll-like antics, is quite unreasonable.
Meanwhile, your complaint that I keep trying to make MR the "topic of discussion" is misguided at best. I believe I mentioned MR, in passing, twice in my last response to you. The vast majority of that response was a direct, full and honest response to the matters you put to me.
The recent context of this thread, in discussing the NASA panel, what Kirkpatrick said, etc. has involved MR as one of the main players. MR shouldn't get to hide behind your skirts, even if you're willing to play the role of mummy shielding him from the nasty man. He's an adult, even if he rarely acts like it.
1. If all reported "flying metallic spheres" have an "otherworldly" explanation then none will be identified as commercial aircraft.
2. Three reported "flying metallic spheres" have been identified as commercial aircraft.
3. Therefore, not all reported flying metal spheres have an otherwordly explanation.
This is fine. A different syllogism goes like this:
1. If all reported "flying metallic spheres" have the same cause, then a single identification is sufficient to identify all such objects.
2. Three reported "flying metallic spheres" have been identified as commercial aircraft.
3. Therefore, all reported flying metallic spheres must be commercial aircraft.
This is also logically valid.
Also, if you were to dig down into the details of the flying sphere reports, you'll find more variation. While the average size reported is 1 to 4 metres in diameter, that is only an average. Some people report smaller spheres; some report larger. etc. This goes for all the characteristics on his "summary slide", which only collates the "most commonly reported" characteristics, from a bunch of separate and unrelated reports.
You seem almost annoyed that I responded to you fully and honestly. In return, it seems that you have ignored the second half of my response to you entirely; at least there's no evidence in your latest reply that you read any of that. I think it's more likely that you did read it, but you don't want to reply to it because it's inconvenient for your position and you'd rather not address those matters. Again, this doesn't reflect well on you.
I did not watch the whole thing. It was 3 hours long or something, wasn't it?Did you even watch the NASA forum?
As it happens, I did watch the part where Kirkpatrick made the comments previously and extensively quoted here, regarding the "metallic orbs".
Does it matter? Is there something you want to bring up from some other part of his presentation - or something else from the NASA panel in general? I'm willing to take a look at something specific, if you want to refer me to a video and a specific timestamp.
If I recall correctly, he referred to several different examples of "solved" UAP reports.I'm too lazy at the moment to rewatch the whole thing to search for the remarks in question, but as I recall, Kirkpatrick gave an example of a UAP report that they believe they have satisfactorily resolved. And as I recall, it was of the strange lights in the distant sky variety. Upon investigation, they resolved into aircraft running lights in the far distance. While I may be mistaken, I don't recall this example being of the silvery spheres variety at all.
MR can reply for himself when his latest temporary ban ends. I haven't prevented him from replying. He has insured for himself that he is on another enforced break from the forum. That's entirely his own choice. He had ample chances to respond honestly to the matters that were raised by two different people, in regards to a particular stance he freely chose to take. For whatever reason, he couldn't bring himself to respond in good faith. Perhaps he can tell you why he felt unable to do that, when he gets back.Please don't keep trying to make MR into the topic of discussion, especially when you have insured that he can't reply for himself. (That's just Evil.
Your calling me evil because I have little patience left for MR's dishonest little games, after years of dealing with his troll-like antics, is quite unreasonable.
Meanwhile, your complaint that I keep trying to make MR the "topic of discussion" is misguided at best. I believe I mentioned MR, in passing, twice in my last response to you. The vast majority of that response was a direct, full and honest response to the matters you put to me.
The recent context of this thread, in discussing the NASA panel, what Kirkpatrick said, etc. has involved MR as one of the main players. MR shouldn't get to hide behind your skirts, even if you're willing to play the role of mummy shielding him from the nasty man. He's an adult, even if he rarely acts like it.
In this particular discussion, I have not, for the most part, taken any sort of lead. I am content to follow the discussion where others want to take it. I have no animosity towards MR (or towards yourself, to be clear). On the contrary, I have extended repeated courtesies towards MR. I have at times treated him with kid gloves. I have given him too many second chances to count. I've been really patient and kind with him - far more than his behaviour deserves. Over the course of years of his trolling, I have become a little impatient with the dishonest and evasive side of his character. But he can't complain about that; he has had a dream run here compared to most trolls of his ilk.If you are so concerned with correct logic, reasoning and critical thinking, you probably need to begin by keeping to a higher and more abstract level, by discussing the intellectual issues while leaving out the personal animosity and ad-hominems.
Please see my previous post, above.I'm not convinced he said that. The 'must' (which implies some kind of necessity) might be your own insertion.
Two different syllogisms. The first one (the one you appear to be referring to) goes like this:That doesn't follow logically. All your modus tollens argument justifies one in saying is '~All(X)'. It doesn't justify one in saying All(~X)
1. If all reported "flying metallic spheres" have an "otherworldly" explanation then none will be identified as commercial aircraft.
2. Three reported "flying metallic spheres" have been identified as commercial aircraft.
3. Therefore, not all reported flying metal spheres have an otherwordly explanation.
This is fine. A different syllogism goes like this:
1. If all reported "flying metallic spheres" have the same cause, then a single identification is sufficient to identify all such objects.
2. Three reported "flying metallic spheres" have been identified as commercial aircraft.
3. Therefore, all reported flying metallic spheres must be commercial aircraft.
This is also logically valid.
Don't be silly. MR had plenty of chances to speak up and admit that it is possible that there might be different explanations for different reports of "flying metallic spheres". This was discussed with him over several days and over the course of 40+ posts to this thread. He was free at all relevant times to speak up. Indeed, he was explicitly asked to concede this point, by at least two different people.I think that he could be persuaded of that, if you would let him speak.
Yes. The relevant class, as was clear from Kirkpatrick's presentation, was the class consisting of all apparent objects mentioned in reports concerning "flying metallic spheres". The "we" is generic. What he means is that people have reported seeing similar things "all over the world". He in no way implies that he, NASA or anybody else expects that all reports will have the same explanation. If he actually thought that, he would have said that he expected all of them to turn out to be commercial aircraft - just like the ones that NASA has identified so far. But he didn't say that.It's suggested by Kirkpatrick's words, "We see them all over the world. And we see them making very interesting apparent maneuvers." 'Them' is the object of both sentences. He's seemingly attributing the phrases 'all over the world' and 'making very interesting apparent maneuvers' to the same 'them'. So he's pretty clearly treating the 'them' as a class, such that he applies the same adjectival phrases to them.
He was talking about the most commonly reported kinds of things. As somebody else pointed out, using the actually data, it seems that only just over 50% of UAP reports involve "flying metallic-looking spheres". So, even though this is the most common class of things reported, about half of the things reported are reported as having different characteristics.Admittedly that doesn't commit him to claiming that they must (of some unknown necessity) all have the same explanation. But he does seem to be saying that they are the same kind of phenomenon being observed repeatedly behaving in different ways.
Also, if you were to dig down into the details of the flying sphere reports, you'll find more variation. While the average size reported is 1 to 4 metres in diameter, that is only an average. Some people report smaller spheres; some report larger. etc. This goes for all the characteristics on his "summary slide", which only collates the "most commonly reported" characteristics, from a bunch of separate and unrelated reports.