That's quite a stretch from what I posted.
It's a breakdown of exactly what you posted. And, what you posted pretty much contradicts science.
That's quite a stretch from what I posted.
I've never seen a jet flying over that I haven't heard the noise of a jet engine from. Next?
It's a breakdown of exactly what you posted. And, what you posted pretty much contradicts science.
How does learning about reality thru sensory perception contradict science?
Sensory perception would demonstrate that reality is full of sounds and that objects moving through that reality are not silent. That would contradict science.
Behold the unscientific wonder of hot air balloons!
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And these could be wrong.I conclude the second because I hear the first. Not hearing a sound coming from the craft is the empirical reason I conclude it to be a silent craft. Not seeing wings on the craft is the empirical reason I conclude it to be a wingless craft.
And these could be wrong.
Sure, but those things happen on Earth, probably quite near you with any chance of error reduced...although even with local stuff on Earth, still not 100%...people still make errors, although nowhere near the error making as observing something up in the heavens, and/or space, that is mostly at night, and the often atmospheric phenomena that can confuse people.Perception is way more often right than it is wrong. That's why eyewitnesses are so valuable in crime cases, accident reports, news stories, historical accounts, and biographical data.
Still don't believe me? Tally up the number of things during the day you perceived correctly compared to the number of things you misperceived. I think your confidence in your perception will be greated boosted by this.
Exactly what I said. Magical Realist, as you will be aware, disagrees. For him, UFOs are all technological "craft". Even clouds are technological craft, according to him. That's where he starts. He's even on the record as continuing to deny that particular sightings of ghosts or UFOs are mundane objects even when all the available evidence points almost unequivocally to that conclusion. No UFO case is ever solved, according to Magical Realist. All UFOs must remain forever unknown. He's actually written that.If an object seen in the sky is unidentified, it is technically a ufo. If it is subsequently identified, then it would seem to no longer be a ufo, even if it was considered a ufo earlier. So there's a temporal indexical aspect to this. Ufo ascriptions seem to be functions of their context.
No no no! A thousand times no! How often do I have to say this? And what on earth gave you the impression that I have any such unstated premise?You seem to me to want to sneak in another unstated premise: That whatever is responsible for any and all ufo reports will turn out to be familiar and mundane.
You couldn't be more wrong if you tried.You seem (however implicitly) to want to argue that there isn't (and can't be?) anything new, extraordinary or fundamentally unexpected happening in reality.
No. This thread is not, fundamentally, about prejudging evidence based on two equally-valid but competing worldviews. The two worldviews in question are not equally valid when it comes to learning about things in the real world. On the one hand, science has built our modern world. It has a long track record of proven success and utility. On the other hand, fantasies at best give us insight into the human condition. There can be passing - or persistent - fads in which some people mistake the fantasies for data. Alien visitation is, more than anything else, a modern fad. If any evidence for this is needed, look no further than the extraordinary geographic concentration of these supposed alien sightings. Ask yourself why the space aliens are so fascinated by Americans, who also happen to churn out the most literature and fantasy content about space aliens. Ask yourself why the space aliens almost exclusively choose to kidnap uneducated Americans who can be shown to be psychologically unstable.That's what the argument of this thread is really about. It's where I think that you and I differ most profoundly.
You can't pretend that you're unaware that MR is prejudging every UFO report. All he requires in order to call something a "craft" is that he doesn't know what it is. It's also immensely useful to him if an authority he trusts (e.g. breathless History Channel pseudo-documentary entertainment programmes) tell him that something is an alien craft He doesn't even need to think, then - just have faith.I agree that MR doesn't use his vocabulary very precisely. Calling them "craft" in the sense of vehicles risks biasing our conclusions when we don't know what they are.
No! Emphatically no, once again.Nor can we assume that all of them would ultimately fit nicely into our pre-existing classification categories if only we had enough information. To do that is to rule out the possibility of anything unexpected popping up. Either MR and River's way or your way, it still looks like confirmation bias.
Poor-quality evidence (which is the kind we most often find ourselves dealing with when it comes to UFOs) can be consistent with lots of different theories (hypotheses). Also, some hypotheses are themselves consistent with such a wide range of "evidences" that they are practically valueless as explanations of anything.I think that there's evidence that's consistent with the extraterrestrial theory, but as you say, nothing even remotely conclusive.
As far as I can tell, you and I would be on entirely the same page regarding our attitudes to UFO reports, were it not for your belief that I am making certain faulty assumptions, namely the ones that you refer to as "implicit". If I wanted to be a smart-arse about it, I might argue that it's you who is making implicit assumptions about my personal beliefs and about my attitudes to evaluating evidence.My own view is that the extraterrestrial theory has a relatively low probability. I remain unpersuaded.
I think you're making a mistake. You think the difference of opinion is one that is grounded in the ontological beliefs of the pro-ufo crowd, as opposed to the ontological beliefs of the sceptics. I see the difference as one not of ontology but of epistemology.But something else seems to be happening here:
The pro-ufo faction seems to me to be implicitly fighting for the possibility of transcendence (in the sense that reality around us arguably exceeds our current understanding). The anti-ufo faction seem to want to believe that all of reality fits nicely and without remainder into their existing conceptual boxes.
A place for everything and everything in its place. The problem with that is that for as long as there have been humans, those humans have believed that they had everything figured out (except perhaps for a few loose ends here and there). And up until today, that assurance has always proven to be wrong. (That's the so-called "pessimistic induction" in the philosophy of science.)
We need to keep an open mind.
Argument from personal incredulity (see what I mean, Yazata?) Next.I've never seen a jet flying over that I haven't heard the noise of a jet engine from. Next?
How do you know they are imaginary?You really shouldn't worry so much how I look to your imaginary online audience of fans and supporters.
Thank you. I'll take that as a compliment.You do a fine enough job at making sure I'm depicted here in a certain bad light that none of them would ever think otherwise.
He knows that.Not hearing sound does not mean it is not making sound. Not seeing wings does not mean it does not have wings.
Not sure how long I have been putting that position.The idea that at least one extraterrestrial advanced civilisation is sending its spacecraft to Earth on a regular basis is an idea that has the capacity to change the entire outlook of humanity, if it is true.
Sure, did you miss it?instead of cooly and rationally discussing the issue of ufos themselves
Not sure how long I have been putting that position.
Along of course with the fact that most scientists would agree that we are probably not alone, but as yet, we have no evidence for such off Earthly life...your Sagan's, Shostak's De-Grasse Tyson's just to name three.
If extraordinary evidence did show that life existed elsewhere, these blokes would be clammering at the bit in letting it all out!
Mankind's greatest question!!
Hearing sounds from an aircraft depends on various factors.It's observed to be a wingless craft that flies silently and performs extraordinary flight maneuvers We can justifiably infer a technology totally beyond anything we presently know.
You have repeatedly identified them as being not of this world, not something that humans have ever constructed.. Which means you have identified it, which means it is no longer a UFO.Nope. A craft of unknown technology and origin and purpose, that defies anything humans have ever constructed, is not an identified object. It remains unidentified and falls under the definition of UFO already given you. Such craft "cannot be identified as a familiar object", which is exactly what a 40 ft long tic tac is and a metallic disc is and a spinning top is and a black triangle is. These are unfamiliar objects and not familiar objects like weather balloons, or clouds, or planes, or meteorites. Once again you wish to redefine the UFO as defined by the USAF and popular culture out of existence, as if every UFO is really just an IFO.
It's observed to be a wingless craft that flies silently and performs extraordinary flight maneuvers We can justifiably infer a technology totally beyond anything we presently know.
Behold the unscientific wonder of hot air balloons!
![]()
None of that negates what I said:Perception is way more often right than it is wrong. That's why eyewitnesses are so valuable in crime cases, accident reports, news stories, historical accounts, and biographical data. Still don't believe me? Tally up the number of things during the day you perceived correctly compared to the number of things you misperceived. I think your confidence in your perception will be greated boosted by this.
And these could be wrong.
Many people have observed craft not making any audible sound and craft not having visible wings. Yet I assure you they do indeed make sounds and have wings.
So: Not hearing sound does not mean it is not making sound. Not seeing wings does not mean it does not have wings. That applies to both identified and unidentified craft.