Invert: pessimist
Bullshit. The glass isn't half-empty. It's (oops. Forgot to insert witty comment here. Can't think of one so.... Fuck it. The glass is half-empty.)
We shall solve the origin of life as a consequence of three factors:
1) We shall figure out how to create life, or more precisely engineer the conditions in which it can arise. Your refutation of figuring out by backward analysis may or may not be valid, but it is certainly irrelevant.
2) We shall find other life 'forms out there'. By 'comparing and contrasting' the different life types we encounter, a clearer picture of my 'plausible pathway' will emerge.
3) We shall witness life originating in situ, 'out there'.
How do these solve the origin of life? Yes. They would show how life could form. But not necessarily how life did form.
1.) Why would you call it irrelevant? Why would this irrelevancy be connected to the ability to create and/or engineer life within the laboratory? How could this ever equate to an exact derivation of the precise axioms that led to our particular form of life? Only one method springs to mind. If there were some form of limiting factor that leads back to only a singular method of generation of life. However, even if all research led to this conclusion, how could you ever be sure that there's not some derivation that is just eluding us for the present? This is, of course, the age old problem of induction. How do we justify our knowledge?
I will grant that steps can be taken which make certain theories more plausible than others, and to some extent this argument is... nitpicky. But, at the same time it is vital to our very understanding of the universe and the processes within it and should not be dismissed out of hand as 'irrelevant'.
2. Again. What will this have to do with the origins of our life? I can think of a way. If they somehow turn out to operate on similar if not identical mechanisms. DNA for instance.
3. Yes. But, this doesn't relate to life orginating 'back then'.
In short, the problem of how might life originate is decidable. It's decidable by many means. The problem lies in trying to quantitativly derive our own origins. There will always be another possible derivation.
The paths can be limited through improvements in archeology (not the proper term... What would be the term of digging up ancient life forms?). By finding fossils of ancient life forms closer to the beginnings of life (with their life mechanics intact enough for us to understand their workings) would allow us to delineate this 'plausible' scenario to a much narrower degree. Statistics can also limit the field. But, no matter how far the field is narrowed, there will always be an exceedingly large amount of possible paths of derivation. And none can ever be truly justified.