cryptocurrencies

What is this craze about? Bitcoins, etc. have no intrinsic value. What drives their prices?

From what I read in this forum:
Limited quantity.
....................................................................................................
I recently read that Tesla bought $1.5 billion of bitcoin over the last few months

from $10,000 per coin a year ago to about $47,000 today

wowie zowie
 
What is this craze about? Bitcoins, etc. have no intrinsic value. What drives their prices?

you are asking a 1st year university finance degree question where all the answers are on google for you.
all 1st year university business degree students would be expected to easily compose a 2000 word essay brief on this question, as an answer.

intended subject by not mentioning it & instead asking others to gas light themselves into your supposed theory ?
(gossip language verses intellectual language)


just a thought on style ...
maybe you can create a question that better reflects what it is your asking
rather than gaslighting a counter cultural sub-narrative into debate fashion by asking others to self promote their position of incorrectness to your supposed omitted statement of market dynamic fundamentals
 
What is this craze about? Bitcoins, etc. have no intrinsic value. What drives their prices?
The following is my take on it, and I have only a simplistic understanding at best (and probably wildly incorrect), so treat accordingly. But it has helped me make some sense of it... ;)

Casino chips have no intrinsic value outside of the casino that uses them. But within the casino that uses them they have value. You can play games, buy things etc. And then when you leave the casino you can exchange the chips back for cash.

The same is true of the cryptocurrencies: they are like the chips and the blockchain is like the casino.
The idea of Bitcoin is that you can do more and more things with the chips... buy services, goods, houses, cars, pay people's wages in chips. If you have a wide enough eco-system (or casino) then you can effectively replace fiat currency. If someone who works and lives in the casino is paid in chips and can spend the chips to buy everything they need, then they would never need fiat currency until they leave the casino's eco-system.

Given that there will only ever be 21 million Bitcoin (BTC) in circulation, if it only ever replaces the fiat currency of 10 people then each Bitcoin isn't going to be that valuable. But if 1 million people use BTC to pay for things then the 21 million Bitcoin needs to replace a larger amount of fiat currency... so the value of a single BTC goes up.
If the utility of BTC is such that 100 million people use it then its value keeps going up... so its value is in relation to its utilisation - or the amount of fiat that it is effectively replacing.

But bear in mind also that BTC is purely designed as a currency - i.e. its purpose is to replace fiat currency with a decentralised system.

Other cryptocurrencies, notably Ether (ETH), are somewhat different. The Ethereum blockchain is a more complex beast that allows the operation of smart contracts and... well, let's just say that it has functionality that people use to build decentralised applications. These applications need the token/coin to run. The coin is like the fuel that allows the application to run. Or its like the punch cards that old computers used.
So for cryptocoins like ETHER, the value is associated with the usefulness of the applications that are produced on the blockchain. The more applications and the more users of the applications, the more in demand the tokens/coins will be.
So there is some intrinsic value in such coins: if there was an insufficient supply of the punchcards for those computers, the people who had a store of punchcards could sell them at a higher price, etc. The more people that used the computers and needed the punchcards, the higher the value of the circulating supply of cards. (Bitcoin's purpose is to have people exchange the cards in place of fiat currency). And the growth in applications should not be understated - especially in the Decentralised Finance (DeFi) space. So the utilisation seems to be increasing.

However, what you also get in both cases is predominantly a case of speculation: the hope that people will eventually be willing to pay more for your coin than you originally paid for it. This has undoubtedly fuelled much of the growth. And then there's FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) that fuelled the previous spike in prices just over a year ago.

Now, whether this all ultimately fails, who knows. But it has made, and will continue to make, some people very rich indeed. Right up to the point everyone loses it all. :)
 
Rainbowsingularity lecturing on style...priceless.
faking by bullying to pretend you know
when you dont
(try hard propaganda to change the subject to style rather than content)
lol
go you
little bully

crypto-idiocy hoists his flag
when you stop your pointing & laughing you may realize your own pants are around your ankles
 
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Right up to the point everyone loses it all. :)
When the inventors of Bitcoins etc cash out for cash. A few million in each country they wish to live or visit

Apart from cashing out the Bitcoins themselves also sell off the system, which if I understand is the only asset in the system

:)
 
When the inventors of Bitcoins etc cash out for cash. A few million in each country they wish to live or visit

Apart from cashing out the Bitcoins themselves also sell off the system, which if I understand is the only asset in the system

:)

which government is going to let billions of its currency sink in a bitcoin crash ?
the market was always looking for the next sub prime mortgage repayment insurance scam & bitcoins are ideal
they have weathered the storm & now own billions in many different currency's.
quite aside from the fact that they also now equate to a form of transactional global banking as a mechanism of global financial trade.

China have been wise to keep a lid on crypto because we can now see that given the pandemic as a steroid
the potential market losses of burgeoning new crypto crazes would have wiped out a trillion at least
AND that trillion would probably comprise significant amounts of peoples retirement savings required to long term prop up consumer markets and entire citys.

irony about china calling elon in for some heavy (breathing/petting)chat
as he has just invested in bitcoins
and is in a global market leader position to become chinas #1 electric car manufacturer.
enviable position & one that cant afford to be pushed over into the gutter on a whim.

china is doing what the usa refused to do & could not do , when it comes to fossil fuels.
the Russian American helping the communists teach the capitalists how to save the planet from fossil fuels. with the aid of crypto

Bitcoins, etc. have no intrinsic value

are you a qualified mathematician ?(hold a degree in mathematics?)

intrinsic value ...
you mean asset backed value ?
or commodity/product value ?

bit coin value comes from 2 basic concepts
1 the market price speculation buyer market
what people will gamble to buy them for
2 what they are traded for as a form of currency(they are used as a form of international digital currency just the same as other global currencys)

so the value is in 2 things
1 market speculation which has trillions of dollars looking to make profit from to buy & sell it(trading speculation like a house flipper in the usa)
2 billions of dollars worth of transactions looking to use a form of currency that might make things cheaper or easier for them to buy & sell things

globally thats a multi trillion dollar industry
so bitcoins are here to stay regardless of what happens to the computer on which someone wrote some code.

your proposition is intellectually illegitimate as a question assuming you are well read on mathematics

yes maybe you think your being really clever so you can get others to write your own work for you to discuss the concept of zero sum value as a numerical value comparative to crypto data speculation theory

ho hum
whos your customer ?(headsupasssareus.com?)
i don't mind giving you some free content even if it is for some dickhead company looking to polish their own knobs

im curious to see if you can debate anything at all when it comes to economics
the common sense economists i have met & chatted to were all tutors who generally despised the private sectors relentless perversion of common social care in core policy.
 
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The following is my take on it, and I have only a simplistic understanding at best (and probably wildly incorrect), so treat accordingly. But it has helped me make some sense of it... ;)

Casino chips have no intrinsic value outside of the casino that uses them. But within the casino that uses them they have value. You can play games, buy things etc. And then when you leave the casino you can exchange the chips back for cash.

The same is true of the cryptocurrencies: they are like the chips and the blockchain is like the casino.
Casino chips can be exchanged for fiat currency at any time at a fixed rate. Cashing in cryptocurrency depends on the current market. It reminds me of the Holland Tulip craze (1636-1637).
 
Cashing in cryptocurrency depends on the current market.

no different to food commodity markets

look at the bio fuel corn hoarding scam where peoples food security was attacked by commodity speculators buying corn for bio fuels.
based on fake media by people claiming to be investing in bio fuels where several people scammed government officials
or those government officials are common criminals.
breakfast cereals started getting 25% on the shelf price increases.

peak oil ?

why have gas prices suddenly gone up by 7% ?
i watch my local gas price go up & down by between 2 & 5% often
currently its sitting at 7% above what it was around 8 days ago.

how much cheaper would food be in the usa if you removed all those scammer middle men making millions off it in between the farmer & the customer ?

what happened to American invented direct sales ?

bit of a lie & a scam really

but that is what you have to expect from capitalists
they are terribly dishonest equally as dishonest as communists on the whole.

your talking about cool aid flavours
as if the flavours are the problem
 
fiat currency
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/fiatmoney.asp

Fiat money is government-issued currency that is not backed by a physical commodity, such as gold or silver, but rather by the government that issued it.

Governments do not issue casino chips
but in good faith government officials & their officers may by department policy & for social order recognize casino chips as a form of contractual relationship of credit between partys.

while a Casino may choose to refuse to cash in a persons casino chips as they have no legal force to do so, the Casino is more than likely to cash them in to avoid the bad publicity.

if customers & public do not trust a casino to honor the value of the casinos own chips then the casino will be forced into bankruptcy almost immediately.

however in a heavily class based society like the usa
places like lass Vegas will have a class system of casino chips operating
that class system is not an official government rating
& that currency class of casino chips is also not a form of legal currency exchange

trading exchanges in those chips without IRS declaration is likely a tax crime


Casino chips come under "vouchers" i believe.
& hold no legal value other than publicly assumed value like a credit note.

which makes them NOT a fiat currency

example
lass Vegas probably allows some people to cash in chips from other Casinos
such an action is likely a breach of inland revenue law

the usa
like many asian countrys
has no shortage of psychopaths who will wipe out entire citys to make money off collapsing systems & companys
look at that usa mayor who closed a bridge to wipe off millions in money from local businesses just to upset a political opponent
he didnt go to jail he didnt lose his job

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fort_Lee_lane_closure_scandal
The Fort Lee lane closure scandal, also known as the George Washington Bridge lane closure scandal or Bridgegate,[1][2] was a political scandal involving a staff member and political appointees of New Jersey Governor Chris Christie colluding to create traffic jams in Fort Lee, New Jersey, by closing lanes at the main toll plaza[3][4] for the upper level of the George Washington Bridge.[5]

On May 7, 2020, the court ruled unanimously to overturn the conviction.[251] The Supreme Court held that Baroni and Kelly for no reason other than political payback reshuffled the lanes on the George Washington Bridge. Justice Elena Kagan wrote that the move jeopardized the residents of Fort Lee but concluded that "not every corrupt act by state or local officials is a federal crime".[252]

In March 2017, the Bergen County Prosecutor's Office dropped the complaint against Christie, writing to the Superior Court judge that "we do not believe that an official misconduct charge can be proven beyond a reasonable doubt".[263]

such terrible corruption
all those millions in losses & millions spent of hard working tax payers
denying their children education, food, housing & health care
& then spending all their taxes on them selves.
soo terribly corrupt its mind boggling

but you go with your "fiat currency" rating
comparative legal terms make little difference in such a legal/moral culture
 
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which government is going to let billions of its currency sink in a bitcoin crash ?
Which government - or how government organise their financial system to allow or not allow types of transactions of any type within their boarders and outside their borders is a matter for their internal affairs
EXCEPT
it appears Bitcoin has blindsided the global financial markets by producing money (more specifically a universal means (mediom of exchange) which has no PHYSICAL EVIDENCE of existence

You cannot produce (make / reproduce) any countries currency. But you can, as Bitcoin has shown, swap non material non stuff between members of a club (Bit holders club) around

If you wish to have PHYSICAL money, because what you wish to acquire does not accept Bitcoin you exchange your Bitcoins (held in the restricted Bitcoin club) for a more expansive PHYSICAL money club

:)
 
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Which government - or how government organise their financial system to allow or not allow types of transactions of any type within their boarders and outside their borders is a matter for their internal affairs
EXCEPT
it appears Bitcoin has blindsided the global financial markets by producing money (more specifically a universal means (mediom of exchange) which has no PHYSICAL EVIDENCE of existence

You cannot produce (make / reproduce) any countries currency. But you can, as Bitcoin has shown, swap non material non stuff between members of a club (Bit holders club) around

If you wish to have PHYSICAL money, because what you wish to acquire does not accept Bitcoin you exchange your Bitcoins (held in the restricted Bitcoin club) for a more expansive PHYSICAL money club

:)

Thanks, yes i do realise this.
however
it does not detract from the reality on a global & national financial level that bitcoins have become a compulsory market feature.
people have voted for it democratically globally & nationally by buying bitcoins
so its a democratically elected global financial system which as its own form of currency(language)

which country can afford to ban all bitcoin trading & ownership ?
any ?
can you list any ?
even 1
is there such a list
can a list be created ?

the physical reality seems to be that bitcoins are a critically connected global currency/system
that no modern western government can afford to allow to go bankrupt

*****
international monetary strategic planning & operation

BitCoin was left as-is to allow its self to become established or not established by will of the free market
prior to any government entity validating it as a recognized currency for market inclusion.

NO Western government or middle eastern oil nation was about to ban or interfere with BitCoin.

it has been doing exactly as they expected it
Elon is just mechanizing the next logical step
its natural progresion
however sour grapes for the usa because they failed to secure a deal with him to produce the next worlds #1 private motor vehicle which will be Tesla in china(& then probably india)

so i expect to see various sock puppets coming out attacking bitcoin as a jealous rage of the ignorant tyrant
 
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that no modern western government can afford to allow to go bankrupt
I really don't follow Bitcoin but in truth large money buyers and sellers have been increasing their PHYSICAL wealth with non existent money for yonks

Banks can loan out in excess of the amount of physical money in the vault on the basis not every person will all want their money at the same moment

Curious as to what would happen if Bitcoin trading was given a grace period of a few months and then declared illegal

Trade out of Bitcoin for "real" money after freezingthe exchange rate

Outlaw Bitcoin

I thought it already was illegal to print your own currency

:)
 
I really don't follow Bitcoin but in truth large money buyers and sellers have been increasing their PHYSICAL wealth with non existent money for yonks

Banks can loan out in excess of the amount of physical money in the vault on the basis not every person will all want their money at the same moment

Curious as to what would happen if Bitcoin trading was given a grace period of a few months and then declared illegal

Trade out of Bitcoin for "real" money after freezingthe exchange rate

Outlaw Bitcoin

I thought it already was illegal to print your own currency

:)
international monetary strategic planning & operation

when 1 falls over, what is your back up plan ?
Bitcoin has become a back up plan that is self sustaining so it pays its own way.
globally thats significant as long as it remains to have no political interference

[[[ but how do the usa narcissist tyrants punish elon & china without bankrupting bitcoins]]]

Banks can loan out in excess of the amount of physical money in the vault on the basis not every person will all want their money at the same moment

cash reserves
liquidity
lending rules LVR etc

thats a bit of a different debate because it mostly exists inside a country rather than as a global exchange process via direct sales etc
 
It will hit 100k and then crashed.
On what basis do you think this? Or is it just a random guess? What timeframe for reaching 100k?
And are you willing to put your money where your mouth is: Bitcoin is currently just under USD50k, so you're saying it will double in price before crashing - so why not invest?
 
On what basis do you think this? Or is it just a random guess? What timeframe for reaching 100k?
And are you willing to put your money where your mouth is: Bitcoin is currently just under USD50k, so you're saying it will double in price before crashing - so why not invest?

i remember when bitcoin was around the same price as gold & i could afford to buy(i have not) 2 bitcoins if i spent all my savings lol
 
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