samcdkey said:
I need to think about this for a bit but two things come to mind immediately.
1. predictability
2. defined conditions
Within these two parameters, determinism may be bi-directional (i.e. not only how it will be in the future but also how it was before)
However, the laws of nature (which define the conditions) as we know them are conceptually limited by our personal capacities and hence for us the world can only be imperfectly deterministic.
One could hypothesise that using the best tested conjecture provides us with the most rational model of predictability within the known laws of nature and as long as prediction is possible, that model can provide a basis for our beliefs.
As a determinist, your understanding of the natural laws would define your version of reality, but you must be prepared to expand your vision to include additions or variations in these laws as revealed by greater knowledge and exploration of "truth" or "ultimate reality".
That makes a lot of sense. It calls into question what we mean by "laws of nature," though. What is a law of nature? Is it an artificial rule that seems to accurately describe the behavior of an ultimately un-knowable external reality, or does it have an independent existence, like a Platonic form, that drives natural behavior? Determinism implies that everything is at least theoretically ultimately knowable, so the latter would probably be the preferable answer.
superluminal said:
I would argue that it is impossible. All we can ever achieve (IMO) is the state in which our theories and predictions exactly match what we observe. Whether those observations correspond to an "actual" reality is probably a meaningless question. Aye?
Perhaps, if all knowledge came filtered through the senses, it would be a meaningless question. However, there is some knowledge that appears to come to us almost exclusively a priori. To use an example from geometry, is a circle "actually" all points on a two dimensional plane that lie some distance
r from one point
C? Or is that just an observation of something? Maybe it is a rule that we made up to approximate the features of so-called "circles" in the real world. A determinist would say that the constance of the ratio of a circle's circumference to its diameter is a law of nature; but no physically observable circle-like object actually exhibits this exact ratio. So is it really a law, or have the "real" laws (if they exist) determined that we only believe it to be one?
If we answer with the latter, then, as Zephyr pointed out, determinism becomes a moot philosophy. These True Laws are then completely beyond comprehension, and thus have been so far removed from the human experience that whether they actually exist or not is irrelevant. In such a case, there is no reason not to believe that we
do have free will.
Since determinism insists that there is no free will, then, we must assume the former. That the ratio of a circle's circumference to its diameter is constant
is a true law of nature whose existence and validity can be reached through the use of reason - which brings us back to the first question of inherent, determined fallacy.
So the question of "actual" reality, or Truth, defines determinism in a sense; and at the same time it hints at an interesting paradox within its own tenets.