birch:
Why examples? You do not know anyone is a brain in a vat versus jan's claim he knows he isnt but you are arguing he doesnt. Going by just the so-called evidence of logic so touted as absolute his logic applies more aptly, not that its my view.
I don't understand why you conclude that it is possible for Jan to know for sure that he is not a brain in a vat. My argument is that there's no evidence on which he could possibly draw such a definite conclusion.
Fundamentally, what is happening here is that Jan is claiming absolute certainty, and I am saying there is doubt. And you think
Jan has the better argument? Why?
We may be a brain in a vat but there is no evidence. We may be ghosts in a simulation but there is no evidence. The universe may exist on the sweat of a larger being's brow but there is no evidence. Maybe its being flushed down a toilet, who knows?
Right. But I'm not claiming I
know that the universe is being flushed down a toilet, or that the universe is a simulation. Whereas Jan is claiming that he
does know, by some magic that he declines to explain.
Lack of evidence doesnt negate the existence of something just because we arent aware of it or evidence is out of reach as you pointed out and is common sense which for some strange reason many on this forum forget.
Right. That's why I'm not negating the possibility of being a brain in a vat. But Jan is.
The fringe section is full of naysayers who are 'sure' none of that exists because there is no evidence.
Not in general.
What the "naysayers" say in the Fringe forums is that the evidence presented as proof of the paranormal by believers such as Magical Realist (to name one person) is not very convincing. That doesn't mean they are sure there is no paranormal.
For the record,
I'm not sure there is nothing supernatural or paranormal. All I can say is that I've seen nothing that convinces me that the supernatural or paranormal is real.
Let me give you an example. I once had a bizarre experience with a Ouija board, where I was the only person in the room. I touched the glass that had been used to spell out messages and it literally flew off the table. I did not consciously push it, and nobody else was there to push it.
Now, Magical Realist, or somebody like that, would immediately say that this event is evidence of Spirits from Beyond the Grave, and conclude that a ghost from the sceance pushed that glass off the table. Moreover, they would say that my testimony that nobody else was there and that I didn't push the glass showed that I couldn't have pushed it, so it must have been pushed by some mysterious force from something else. Without more, I'd be one more anecdote for Magical Realist to add to his list of "proofs" of ghost activity.
But am I now convinced by my personal experience that sceances really do contact the spirit world, and the ghosts can telekinetically push things around? No. I can tell you that at the time, the experience was scary and I had no explanation for it. But it didn't make me believe in ghosts. In fact, when that happened I didn't believe in ghosts and I thought the whole seance thing was a silly game. This made me rethink, but I didn't end up as a ghost believer.
Why not? Because I knew there was probably a perfectly sensible explanation for what I experienced. A lot later, I learned that there is, and it has a name. It's called the ideomotor effect. So, mystery solved, without ghosts.
Does this mean that I now think that the existence of ghosts is impossible? No. In principle, they might exist. But I have seen no good evidence for their existence. So I don't believe in them, but I keep an open mind.
But when it comes to fringe areas that are not pet related topics of the science fora, its given utter hogwash treatment but computer simulations, brains in vat etc are such appealing speculations to some though could be deemed pseudoscience or fantasy.
The difference is, nobody (not me, anyway) is making the claim that we are actually brains in vats. I have no evidence that anybody is a brain in a vat, so I don't believe that people are brains in vats any more than I believe that ghosts exist. But does that mean I know that I'm not a brain in vat? No - no more than I know that ghosts don't exist. It is possible that I'm a brain in a vat. It is possible that ghosts exist.
Jan claims to
know for sure about such things. I say he is pretending to have knowledge he doesn't have.
Sorry, this is just quibbling. There isnt really a difference. You dont know the wider reality of the paranormal or tarot cards etc either.
There's an important difference between brains in vats and tarot cards. The difference is that while there's no way to test whether you're a brain in a vat, there are ways to test whether tarot cards can, for example, predict the future.
That is, we can know that tarot cards don't predict the future. This can be tested scientifically. Using tarot cards is no better than guessing.
Yes, some may believe something exists but the naysayers repeat its nonsense without proof.
Not exactly. They say "If you believe something exists, show me some good evidence that it exists." That is, the onus is on the claimant to back up his or her claim. And, as the adage goes, extraordinary claims demand extraordinary evidence.
Just like you are trying to get jan to admit he could be a brain in a vat or doesnt know he is and his logic is there is no evidence but there is evidence of his skull with a brain in it.
The point is, if he was a brain in a vat, he would
still think that there was evidence of his skull with a brain in it. I dealt with this early on in the thread. The fact that he believes his brain is in his skull isn't conclusive evidence that that is the case. it's an assumption he makes without actual proof.
Even, doctors and pathologists have actually removed brains and studied them. There is concrete proof, see??
That might prove that
those brains that they removed were in skulls, but it doesn't prove, for example, that
your brain is in your skull. Nor, under the terms of the thought experiment, would an x-ray of your skull that shows a brain. I discussed this point earlier in the thread, too.
Does any of this make sense to you?