DaveC426913
Valued Senior Member
Primitive is a comparative word. What other model(s) do you compare it to that are more advanced?BB is a primitive cosmological theory .
Primitive is a comparative word. What other model(s) do you compare it to that are more advanced?BB is a primitive cosmological theory .
Primitive is a comparative word. What other model(s) do you compare it to that are more advanced?
BB is a primitive cosmological theory .
You have yet to state one.
Still a misunderstanding of science.
Still true. Except no one but you talks about "knowing". It is unscientific.
Our physical models of the world simply predict. The ones we have (the Standard Model) predict nature extremely accurately. That means we keep them.
Make no mistake. GR and QM are two of the most tested theories in the history of civilization.
Every single experiment has born out the predictiveness of our models with exquisite accuracy.
They don't tell us what reality is; they merely tell us how it behaves.
This is what we have been saying all along.
If you have a need to "know" what reality and nature is, you are barking up the wrong discipline. You're seeking religion.
I have also 15 years ago discovered super-conduction at room temperature up to 400 C (670 K). This lead me to the actual mechanism that causes super-conduction which is NOT caused by pair-formation of electrons.
And you explained wrong.
Again, this phrase "really" proven is naive.
You are arguing against stance that no rational scientist holds. You have invented a straw man.
But back to your wisdom:
That's impossible of course.
Since atomic bombs can only be invented with an intimate knowledge of protons, neutrons and atomic fission, and scientists can know nothing about these things since they're smaller than the human eye can detect, it is impossible for them to have been invented. Congratulations, you have reinvented history.
(Here's a hint: they were not invented by trial and error of simply building bigger and bigger incendiary bombs, until magically one went atomic. Atomic bombs cannot have been invented without first having a model of what atomic nuclei are made of. A predictive model. Made of math, based on observation.)
Gravage,
DaveC426913 is right. You seem fixated on the idea that things in nature can have "proof", and that it's the job of science to "prove" things. That's not what science does. Science's job is to model the natural world so that we can make accurate predictions about how things will behave under different conditions. To do that, scientists create imaginary mental pictures of all kinds of weird stuff. In physics, we have fields and particles and waves, not to mention more mathematical things like metrics and symmetry groups and differential equations of motion.
What comes out of those mental images and the maths that fleshes them out, are predictions: if we do this in the "real world", then that will happen. If we observe this in the real world now, then tomorrow we expect to see that.
In terms of science's ability to make predictions, it doesn't matter at all what kind of mental picture we use, as long as the predictions are accurate. Science doesn't care whether electrons actually exist in the "real world", or whether spacetime really curves.
What it cares about is that if the electron model tells us we can wire a battery to a light bulb then the light will go on reliably, based on our design using that electron model. Or, if we point our telescope towards galaxy A, and galaxies B and C are in particular positions in between us and A, then we will see 3 images of galaxy A, as described by our model of curved spacetime. The success or failure of the model depends only on whether our "real world" observations match what the model predicts.
If we connect up that battery and the light doesn't go on as expected (and we have done everything right according to what the model requires) then the model is faulty and must be replaced by something that works.
Now, if you don't like the idea of electrons, or curved spacetime, then you're quite free to invent your own, different models to explain why that light bulb circuit works and why you see 3 images of galaxy A. For example, your model might say that little invisible pixies carry invisible parcels of darkness away from the bulb and hide them away in the battery, and that's why the bulb lights up. Your pixie model is just fine, as far as science is concerned, as long as it explains all the different kinds of electrical circuits at least as well as the electron model does.
Science will never prove that electrons exist. But we can say with high confidence that, as far as we can tell from "real world" observations of many different kinds, the "real world" behaves as if those imaginary electrons exist as described by the electron model. And that's all that science requires in order for us to find the electron model useful.
It can't be "simply wrong", because it all predicts "real world" results that we can directly observe.
You might be able to show some other model(s) are more powerful than the ones we currently use, but you can't deny that our current models are incredibly useful and productive.
If we can never see reality the way it is, then the best we can do is to make models to the extent of our abilities.
Those two statements are incompatible with one another. If our "incredible technologies" are created using the very models ("hypotheses") that you claim are "simply useless", then what's going on? Are we just having an incredible streak of blind luck? Or what?
But the math we use does help us to make accurate predictions using our models, and we constantly check those predictions against what we directly observe. If the predictions weren't accurate, then we'd have to throw away the maths and start again.
To emphasise: science does not say that a statement like "this track in the bubble chamber was caused by an electron" is "proven". What it says is "this track in the bubble chamber is consistent with what the model of an electron passing through the chamber would predict". The difference is a bit subtle, but I hope you're starting to understand by now.
Tell me what you think a track in bubble chamber "actually proves".
How do you propose to explain and predict tracks in a bubble chamber without using some kind of model?
The particle model is convenient since it allows us to make useful predictions about what will happen when we use a bubble chamber. And what happens in a bubble chamber is relevant to our understanding of physical phenomena of much wider applicability. This is why money and time are spent on bubble chambers* - they aren't there merely to keep some physicists amused.
As for scientists misguiding people, what do you want to replace (mathematical) scientific models with, exactly? What are you going to tell "people all over the world" about what goes on in a bubble chamber?
But you're wrong, again.
Mathematical models are "provable" insofar as they either make accurate predictions of real-world observations, or they do not. Not all models are created equal. There are good models and bad ones.
Again: what do you propose to replace mathematical models with? How will you make predictions about anything?
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* Bubble chambers are outdated technology these days, since we have better ways to detect particles in collisions, so not much money is spent on them these days. At one time, though, they were the best available tool for the job.
(continued...)
Ophiolite has already asked you on numerous occasions what you regard as "true science". Now I'll ask you the same thing. What does "true science" look like to you, Gravage? Can you give me an example or two of "true science"?
On your other point here, why do you think these models so good for making technologies, if they are all "simply wrong"? Just dumb luck?
You might say that we can start with a bad mathematical model and then when it doesn't work we replace it with a better version, by trial and error. But that's not trial and error at all, is it? That's science.
We use the model to make a prediction. We test the prediction against the "real world" and find that it's wrong. So, we alter the model and try again. Over time, the model gets more and more accurate in making predictions. But it didn't happen by "trial and error" in the sense that we randomly changed the model each time. We tried to understand exactly which parts of the model were problematic after each test, and we just altered those parts, leaving the "working" parts alone. This is incremental, guided, deliberate improvement, not mere "trial and error".
Wrong again, if by "opinions" you mean mere untested fantasies. Because the models science uses have been tested and improved over centuries, using "real world" observations and experiments.
The models have been "proven" to work, in that they are demonstrably useful in making predictions and creating technologies. That is quite different from saying that the entities the models posit - like electrons or curved spacetime - have been "proven" to be real. But you seem to me mixing up those two very different kinds of "proof".
The thing is, if you don't like the big bang theory, you're very welcome to propose an alternative hypothesis of your own. All it needs to do is to make predictions about what we will observe in the "real world" that are at least as accurate as the predictions made by the big bang theory. We don't care if your theory has invisible pixies or a purple dragon called Shiela creating the stars and galaxies, provided that it explains all the relevant "real world" observations - the relative abundances of hydrogen and helium in the universe, the Hubble law, the cosmic microwave background radiation and on on.
You say you know that something cannot come from nothing. But how do you know that? Aren't you relying on your own model to claim you know that?
From what you have written, it seem that the further those "real world" evidences are removed from what your human senses can "directly" detect, the more you distrust them.
Thus, you probably accept what you see with your naked eyes. If you look through some reading glasses, probably you also accept what you see? But what about a microscope? Do you accept that bacteria exist, for example? (Have you ever looked through a microscope and seen such things?) And if you accept what you see through a light microscope, what about an electron microscope?
An ultrasound picture of a baby accurately reflects the actual form of the baby. A Scanning Tunneling Electron Microscope does not accurately reflect the form of an atom because it simply uses an artificial dot to represent the presence or absence of an atom. In short, the "map" that STM's give us is abstracted from reality and does not accurately portray an atom (in large part because STM's still simply due not measure at the scale of an atom).
There's a philosophy idea that in order to say we can "see" something, we have to be able to collect consistent information by several different methods. For example if all we have is a STM, then we don't know which parts of the image are artifacts and which are real so we haven't seen anything. But if we have an STM and crystallography, we can have more faith in the features that are common to both images - such as interatomic distances and the geometry of crystal structure. But we still couldn't say that we've seen the shape of an atom since that would look different in each instrument's image.
A great example is people who "discovered" lost cities under the sea. They saw regular patterns of lines on the seafloor in Google Earth and interpreted them as ancient roads or walls. But they were only seeing artifacts from ships that had sailed back and forth in straight lines collecting data. If they had looked both at those sonar scans and some other data for the same location, they would have only seen the lines on one image and been able to conclude that they were either an artifact of the sonar or below the level of sensitivity of the other instrument.
It seems to me that you pick and choose what you think counts as "real world" evidences based on how far you think you can trust a scientific instrument and the people who made it. And that probably depends on how much you think you understand about how it works. So, if the workings of an electron microscope are a mystery to you, then the electron microscope becomes, for you, a source of "unproven" facts about other stuff that can't be "proven".
At the other end of the scale, you probably trust a pair of binoculars well enough. A light telescopes? Maybe, but not so much. Radio telescopes? Forget it - you don't understand how radio works too good, so anything a radio telescope shows is probably "unproven" fantasy. And gravity wave detectors? No idea how those might begin to work, so now we're in the realm of "mathematical pseudo-evidences".
I'm right, aren't I?
I don't see you suggesting any way we can see more of the "real truth" you keep banging on about.
If the limits on what can be proven have already been reached, should we just stop doing science completely, then? Is this what you think?
Are you saying we should just stop trying to find out more about the world from now on, and be content with where our current "unproven" science has got us to?
Final point: you say that mathematical models are all 100% wrong and that all physical theories are useless. But you also claim that such things are "usable for implementations for every day lives". Why, in your opinion, should we use something in our daily lives that is 100% wrong and useless?
One more thing, Gravage...
Can we consider a real-world example I put to you earlier?
Let's say I come to you and ask you to build me an x-ray machine by "trial and error"?
Please give me a brief outline of how you would go about doing that. Relevant questions:
1. What would you do first?
2. How would you decide what raw materials you would need, and where would you get them?
3. Suppose the eventual aim is to make an x-ray photograph of your hand, showing the bones inside. Do you think that such a "real world" picture is possible, without cutting your hand open and looking at the bones directly?
4. Can you describe to me what possible "real world" mechanism could make an x-ray photo of your hand? Note that you shouldn't rely on any "unproven" model entities, only directly-observable ones, since we can't trust any "mathematical" models.
5. Do you believe in "x-rays"? If so, why? Because they are unobservable, are they not? And if you don't believe in them, how to you think actual x-ray photos are made? Isn't the idea of "x-rays" a 100% wrong mathematical model?
6. Would your x-ray machine need to be powered somehow? What would you use to power it? How would you construct teh power supply, without depending some kind of 100% wrong mathematical model?
7. How would your machine produce the "x-rays" (if you think x-rays exist)? Or, if x-rays don't exist, how would your machine take the "x-ray" photograph of your hand?
That's enough for starters.
You make some very good posts here about the nature of science. Gravage clearly does not understand what science is and what it seeks to do.
This exchange strikes me as an excellent example of why some understanding of the philosophy of science is so important when dealing with lay people. Paddoboy (now departed) used to ridicule philosophy as useless, copying the mouthy assertions of Krauss and those like him. But Paddo, God bless him, had no science training: he was just like a faithful dog trying to be loyal to his master.
This confusion about proof - or rather lack of it - in scientific theories is a very common error, as is the notion that science explains the nature of reality, rather than simply modelling how it behaves. I suspect that the mathematical nature of a lot of physical science leads some people to think science must involve proof.
I remain eternally grateful to my 6th Form chemistry teacher, who never told a pupil he had got something "right". He always used to say "Yes, this is one model". We used to ridicule this at first, but as we encountered more of the rival models that abound in chemistry and became aware of their strengths and weaknesses, we began to see the light.
Many people do not realise that in science we often use approximate models and that we select different models of the same thing for different purposes, depending on what we are trying to predict or account for. So much for explaining reality.....![]()
I really don't follow your logic
I agree with you about not seeing the nutrenos making tracks in cloud chambers
No one has ever seen them
No one has ever seen the TV signal traveling between the studio and my TV set
The signal is known to be there because the the studio is certain they are sending and I can see I am receiving, I have the picture
You said it's technology. OK it's technology
And all the technology which goes into all of the technical items present started out with ideas and trial and error
The errors become less and less as the results of previous trials become better understood
There is a concept of baby steps
We don't go from a 10cent small amount of rocket powder to the next stage building a Saturn moon rocket although the concept is the same - action and reaction
The blind-elephant ear-leaf really does not mean anything except there is a plant with very large leafs which resemble in a superficial way elephant ears
I do know about people who have always been blind but have had absence of sight corrected
When they are asked to draw a bus, a mode of transport they have been using regularly, their drawings only consists of the area where they boarded the bus
Even though they can now visually see the front of the bus it does not appear in the drawings until either a long time later or sooner if they walk around the bus touching the front area
But that's a digression
EXCEPT
' If you try to explain only the tip of an iceberg what you can actually directly observe, you will always fail '
Nooooo
I will be spectacularly correct in describing the TIP
I will miss in a description of the part under the water
But I will observe the tip appears to act differently to what I expect
I will deduce something else must be present
I will explore and discover the underwater section
Then I will spectacularly described all of the iceberg
That is UNDERSTANDING and KNOWING
Try them sometime
One can model anything about the natural world that can be deduced from reproducible observation. A proper model in science needs to make predictions that can be tested, by means of further reproducible observations. That is what science tries to do.But you cannot model something you cannot prove to exist! You cannot model something that you cannot test it in the first place-that's my point, it's totally wrong to model anything, if you don't have real evidences and real facts that back you up in the first place, not some abstract models with concepts that are untestable and that do not exist in the first place-that is simply not scientific, why you are calling yourselves scientists in the first place than, because you are not scientists, you belivers in mathematical models-that's religion and not science-again I'm talking about strictly physics.
You have yet to state one.
Still a misunderstanding of science.
Still true. Except no one but you talks about "knowing". It is unscientific.
Our physical models of the world simply predict. The ones we have (the Standard Model) predict nature extremely accurately. That means we keep them.
Make no mistake. GR and QM are two of the most tested theories in the history of civilization.
Every single experiment has born out the predictiveness of our models with exquisite accuracy.
They don't tell us what reality is; they merely tell us how it behaves.
This is what we have been saying all along.
If you have a need to "know" what reality and nature is, you are barking up the wrong discipline. You're seeking religion.
One can model anything about the natural world that can be deduced from reproducible observation. A proper model in science needs to make predictions that can be tested, by means of further reproducible observations. That is what science tries to do.
Of course I would agree that, if you have no observations, then any model you make cannot be tested and thus cannot be regarded as more than a hypothesis. But there is evidence in support of the Big Bang hypothesis, such as the observed isotropy and CMBR (ifI recall correctly - I am not a cosmologist). As for predictions, there is a summary here: https://medium.com/starts-with-a-ba...ction-of-the-big-bang-68ab6f4a5475#.y0cja6eqh You are quite at liberty to regard this evidence as not conclusive, however.
You might even go further and say that, in your opinion, it is mistaken, because....niddle, naddle, noo [insert your own observations that you think contradict it].
But for it to be a "lie", as you called it in the thread title, would require that there is deliberate suppression of evidence that falsifies the Big Bang hypothesis. Do you actually mean that?
QM most certainly does account for and predict an enormous range of observed behaviours of the world.Youa re 100% wrong, general relativity might be observable but you misinterpreted in a way that you lie to people all the time. QM is not even testable in a way that you can say that anything actually exists in the first place, shame on you-again in relativity there is no such thing as space bending, what exactly is bending are distances, trajectories and everything what is made of matter and energy what is inside an gravitatioanl fields.
Read my replies to JamesR for more informations about why thes emodels do not predict anything at all, only models that are made by observable effects in experiments are useful in making models, so models based on real evidences not on abstract concepts that do not exist ina r eal world, sir.
You can see that something is behaving, but you cannot say what exactly is behaving in the first place-this is something you lost your focus-if models claim what is exactly behaving, than the models are not based on experiments and evidences, they are based on untestable predictions of what are the causes of such behaviour-which again are untestable and unprovable.
Would you care to re-express that reply in the form of a set of coherent statements? At the moment it is not really possible to work to what you are trying to say. Perhaps a few full stops would help.And you are forgetting that thos reproducibile observations can be from stars, I honestly don't believe that this is any kind of evidence, neither isotropy is, it's like saying that I have proven the existence of ghosts by detecting electromagnetic anomalies-that produce truly creepy voices over my bed.
Again, when people ar eso small and arogant they say they have proven and yet they can never see the whole picture only its tiniest part-and if you cannot see the whole picture, everything you do and assume is wrong, because you cannot directly observe the entire reality and the whole picture only its tiniest part, because there is so much outside of your observational abilities and outside your realm of what you can observe and experience.