Penduroboros
Sculptor said:
Consider globalism and nativism as a pendulum. Push it far enough in one direction, and the kinetic tendency to swing back in the other direction increases.
I think we put too much faith in the pendula theses; my father used to use it as his explanation for Congressional and local elections. The thing is that it seems a wise enough observation, as such, but nobody can explain how it works or why it works the way it does.
The American people frequently display a
non sequitur politic, like our insistent "both sides" standard that customarily replaces actual facts when we need to restore some "fairness" and "balance" to the difference between the parties; it is, in the end, part of how we absolve ourselves.
Such as it is, nativism and globalism seems a false dichotomy. To wit, if I give you two badly-planned and traditionally poorly-executed plans as options, at what point are you going to say, "Well, can we shore up these plans before we decide?"
The American collective, however, never does that. We blame the politicians in part because we send them out to fail. There is plenty amiss about the politicians, but that doesn't mean the rest of society is clean.
As a general proposition, I'm kind of tired of the people pretending they are blameless. To the one, politicians vote for plenty of bad ides because that's what the people want. To the other, we blame the politicians for trying to give us what we want. And the whole point of it is to absolve ourselves. And I know damn well why I vote for intsitutional Demcorats; most Democratic voters do, too. Here's a count for you:
Two Scalias and no Kennedy. The godawful Democratic voters and politiicans Bernie Sanders and his wrecking crew just spent over a year denouncing as corrupt are the reason we don't have a Christian nationalist theocracy. You saw the Gay Fray. You saw the kind of judges American conservatives want. The strange thing about voter dissatisfaction is that we've had generations to address some of what reportedly troubles people, but voters have instructed their governments otherwise. We always say we're voting on taxes, or patriotism, or the economy, or whatever, but that also means we're accepting everything else that comes with.
I remember Randy Tate; he won his first election to the state legislature by falsely accusing his opponent of molesting children; he reached Congress in the '94 Revolution, the only Republican to hold that district. The man he defeated remains in public service as the Washinton state Insurance Commissioner; the man who defeated Tate in '96, Rep. Adam Smith (D-WA09), holds the office to this day.
Tate? He was just part of the revolving door. Elected as a part of a protest against such behavior, he went on to become a lobbyist. And not just
any lobbyist; he succeeded Ralph Reed as executive director of the Christian Coalition. In 2008 he turned up in Romney's failed nomination bid; these days, he sits on the board of an astroturf lobbying firm. His story is a reminder of what these populist cycles bring: The only Republicans I know who remember or will acknowledge Mr. Tate will hold him up as an example of a problem that "both sides" have, though none can name a Democratic equivalent. We saw a similar phenomenon with the 2010 Tea Party debacle:
They elect exactly what they claim to loathe: corrupt, inefficient hacks.
I suppose I should write the unfortunately requisite disclaimer, here, that it's not that Democrats are without their problems; it's just that not all problems are the same, and there are days the "both sides" argument just doesn't apply.
Still, though, I remain dubious about these outbursts of voter dissatisfaction; passion is as passion does, but it seems to me that when it was liberal passion for justice and equality we were expected to have unassailable plans capable of guaranteeing success. I don't know what to tell you about an effective range of plans looking forward, but the conservative argument has often eschewed such plans of its own, preferring instead to believe that if we just leave things the way they are everything will work out just fine.
The sum effect of it all is that the pendulum effect remains undefined; in some ways it is a reasonable description, but in others it is simply inadequate. The Gay Fray, for instance, was not a specific pendulum outcome. As a pendulum thesis, the idea is that a bunch of people climbed into the chamber, caught hold of the pendulum, and then tried to push it as far in one direction as they could; they couldn't push it very far, but built up so much potential energy that when they lost their grip the pendulum swung from about four o'clock or a little later to spinning 'round past midnight and into a tomorrow where the pendulum just clocked them again on behalf of our transgender neighbors.
Globalism can be good or bad or simply there; if I say nativism is virtually never good or simply there, I'm only holding a sliver of space for wome insanely fantastic circumstance I could never predict, like Christian evangelists arriving at some new world inhabited by a sentient and communicative population that would serve itself best simply eradicating the pathogen. In an evolutionary context, I suppose, one can at least
try to justify such responses. But those aren't in effect here and now.
Nativism and globalism is simply the latest iteration of the historical dualism―
self and other.
The nativists push hard enough, we might see the pendulum swing over the top again when they finally lose their grip entirely.
And if we absolutely
must go through this exercise in stupidity, I'll take that outcome. But it would also mean we probably need a new metaphor instead of pendula. Watching the various conservative movements―purity cult (male supremacist), white supremacist, Christian supremacist, nationalist, &c.―repeatedly bash themselves in the head like Ren Höek, the notion of a
ninnyhammer thesis starts to sound like a reasonable candidate. And it sure as hell looks and sounds better than
penduroboros.