Undecided said:
Still the prospect of radiation up in the atmosphere with its high winds and ability to carry radiation over large areas (alas Chernobyl) surely would have caused serious environmental problems.
From the W54 ejecta? Not at all, really. It's just too small to be noteworthy. About the only residual radiation you need to worry about from nuclear weapons is the stuff left behind by the high yield multistage Teller-Ulam layer cake devices. Think your modern ICBM warhead, complete with heavy-ass U-238 tamper and such. That's your fallout factory, not the small tactical weapons.
Even when the high yield blockbusters are used, they don't really release all that many contaminants. It's only in surface bursts when the fireballs touch the Earth's surface and suck up a whole bunch of dirt, coat it with fission fragments, and scatter it to the wind in the subsequent columnar draft that fallout becomes a problem.
Gravity said:
I think even if hit hard they would not go nuclear, they would just fall into the ocean - the sequence for fusion/fission has to be precise in application and timing.
Yep. Modern nuclear weapons, or all staged weapons, are one-point-safe. This means that even if the high explosive lenses around the Plutonium trigger (the small fission device that initiates the fusion) detonate randomly, there is less than 1 chance in 1 million that the weapon will produce a nuclear yield. This is because, in implosion designs, the formation of a critical mass is extremely difficult and must be timed with great detail. Each individual high explosive lens must detonate at exactly the same time so as to crush the Plutonium pit inward uniformally. Otherwise the sphere of Pu-239 will just get deformed into an oblong shape and squirt out the side where the explosive is detonating the latest or the slowest.
It's so hard to get a nuke to detonate properly to begin with that the inherent stability of high explosives only makes the chances of an accidental cook-off even more remote.
There's a great many factors to consider in what would happen to the bombs themselves subsequent to the interception. My guess is, the bombs would probably be badly damaged by the explosion and their remains would fall into the sea below.