Yazata
Valued Senior Member
''In defence of space aliens''
So why do you think it's space aliens Magical realist?
Did MR start this thread and give it its subject-line? Or was it was split from another thread by our moderators?
''In defence of space aliens''
So why do you think it's space aliens Magical realist?
If I recall correctly, MR didn't start this thread and he didn't give it its subject-line. I believe that it was split from another thread by our moderators, and they are the ones that gave it its title.
It looks like you lost track of your own argument there.Didn't have to. That's how easily swayed your beloved overwhelming consensus is.
Then where are the pictures of these pilots, for instance? Why haven't any of them been paraded before the world's news media? You say this is "well-evidenced", but a brief search turns up no good evidence at all.Yeah..that's all part of the well-evidenced phenomenon of ufos.James R said:You claim that UFOs are "craft" with extraordinary manoeuverability, with capacities far beyond human technology. You claim these UFOs are "piloted".
They sure are damned elusive, apparently only choosing to pop up in poor quality anecdotes and dubious footage, often from unreliable witnesses. Why is that, do you think?I prefer waiting to find that out when they decide to reveal themselves to us.
No, it doesn't frustrate me. You're obviously a lost cause, unable to be reasoned with. I tried, but there's no point flogging a dead horse. I have come to accept that your unwarranted faith is a kind of religion for you, with deep personal significance, and that nothing I say is likely to change that.Does it frustrate you that you can't attack the alien assumption with me? Suck it up son.
Right. I'll note that next you try to argue that an eyewitness can't possibly be mistaken about anything. Let's mark your post for future reference.Nobody said perception and memory are perfect.
It's not a matter of seeing something that wasn't there. It's a matter of misinterpreting what was there. That's what this entire case is about.There's absolutely zero evidence that those pilots suffered some glitch in their perception or memory that made them see something that wasn't there.
No. A "fact" is an established truth. All of this is contested.The encounter is detailed enough and objective enough to indicate it was a real albeit unknown object that they sighted and that performed in ways defying any manmade craft. These are the given facts of this case.
First, it wasn't me who introduced Joe Nickell into the discussion. Second, I did not appeal to his authority; I merely quoted his summary of his investigation into the incident. He is somebody who actually talked to relevant witnesses, read relevant documents, and so on - something you have never bothered to do, for instance. His actual investigation trumps your unfounded speculations.Yes it is or you wouldn't appeal to authority by using Joe Nickell as some sort of expert to validate your version of events.
You know nothing of the biases of the pilots and radar operators. That's just more speculation on your part. The funny thing is, your speculation always leans heavily in whatever direction is necessary to prop up your belief system.It always comes down to who is exercising the least bias and not making assumptions that are not backed up by evidence. In this case that would be the pilots who were there and the radar operators.
Interesting.Noone who devotes the amount of time and effort in trying to debunk ufo sightings that you do appears to have better things to do.
You lost track of your own argument. See my previous post.Argument ad populum? That's rather desperate even for you.
Nobody knows what they saw.Because you know better what they saw than they do? Is that your claim?
No. For starters, Fravor only said it was like a tic tac.Seeing a 40 foot long tic tac isn't nothing. It's a very specific and unidentified something that they claim they saw.
Yes, and all of that is nowhere near what would be needed to prove the little green men hypothesis in this case.The evidence lies in the accounts given based on eyewitness testimony, radar video, and camera video.
Right! Like I said, I have done practically nothing in terms of trying to debunk this.You provide no evidence whatsoever.
You use the words "specious" and "unwarranted" there. I don't think those words mean what you think they mean. Maybe you should consult a dictionary. If, after doing that, you want to show how any of my speculations is "specious", you're welcome to try.Just specious speculations based on your unwarranted assumption of the implausibility of ufos.
It's all so simple. People just report what they see, and that means what they report is what they saw. Why didn't I realise that before? Thank you so much, Magical Realist. Now I know that eyewitnesses are perfect recorders of sensory data.Because he's a Navy pilot simply reporting what he saw that day.
No?There are no interpretations by Fravor of the object as aliens or even as a ufo.
How do you know?He describes it exactly as he saw it.
Sorry? Explain that to me slowly. We know that he has no agenda, because he described what he saw. Nobody who describes what they saw ever has an agenda, then? But we come back to the question of by what magical means do you know that he described what he saw?That's how we know he has no agenda to push like you do.
You're accusing me of defaming somebody? Please explain. Who have I defamed, and how?His fellow pilot likely kept quiet to avoid public ridicule and defamation by people like you and Joe Nickell.
Your claim, remember, was that the reality of UFO aliens (or whatever) has been, in your words, compellingly and repeatedly established. What does "established" mean, if not that the reality of your little green men is widely accepted to be true?
Then where are the pictures of these pilots, for instance? Why haven't any of them been paraded before the world's news media? You say this is "well-evidenced", but a brief search turns up no good evidence at all.
They sure are damned elusive, apparently only choosing to pop up in poor quality anecdotes and dubious footage, often from unreliable witnesses. Why is that, do you think?
I'm not primarily interested in you. I'm more interested in exposing you as a cautionary tale for others.
I thought you might take my comment that way, but it's out of context. Read what I wrote immediately following that.Wouldn't the argument implicit in your view also be an argument against scientific confirmation and peer-review?
In both science and everyday life, the likelihood that a reported observation was in fact an observation of something in objective reality (as opposed to a subjective error or delusion) goes up when others are able to observe it too. The likelihood that the observation was the result of a defect in a particular mode of observation goes down when the variety of modes of observation all agree. Convergence of evidence.
This is not a case of "normal military procedure". This is an unusual event, clearly, or we wouldn't be making such a fuss about it.The aircraft had been directed to that specific point by the controllers on the cruiser on the basis of their radar. Just in the course of normal military procedure, if an unknown radar contact is observed and pilots are vectored to investigate it, when they visually sight a flying object in that specified location and proceed to photograph it, we wouldn't be insisting that what they saw and photographed had nothing to do with the radar contact.
That's an easy assumption to make, but in the case of an unusual event like this one we have to be more careful. Mistakes just like this assumption have been made in the past in UFO cases.The aircraft intercept and the ensuing observations would be interpreted as confirming the radar sighting.
It's conceivable that there was less than one alien spaceship.It's conceivable that there was more than one UFO.
I'm a bit of a fan of the TV show Air Crash Investigations. One reason is that, episode after episode, it shows careful and thorough investigators working through every detail of a situation to work out what actually happened.In concert the multiple modes of observation seem to me to be mutually reinforcing, reducing the possibility that errors peculiar to one method of observation are infecting the entire encounter.
Yes. But we know that there were a number of aircraft in the air simultaneously, apparently including drones (which I didn't know until recently). Moreover, there's no guarantee that the only (human-operated) aircraft in the area were US military aircraft.When I say "aerial objects" they were obviously objects of attention by the pilots. They were objects on the radar screens and the videos.
The term "something in physical reality" is a pretty malleable one. I don't think anybody here disagrees that there was "something in physical reality", or perhaps a number of different somethings. The question is: what? A spurious radar echo is "something in physical reality", from one point of view. It's real as far as the radar operator is aware.Admittedly the inference that there was something in physical reality that these objects correspond to is indeed an inference. I think that it's a very strong inference, but still not 100% certain.
I think that you are I only disagree on the weight that we give to the available evidence in this case. We both agree, I hope, on the need to collect reliable evidence and such - something that Magical Realist has no interest in.And I argued in a post up above that the ever-present possibility that we just might be wrong shouldn't be pushed so hard that it entirely subverts the idea of knowledge itself.
We will just have to agree to disagree on this stuff.
From my point of view, I can't be sure there was an object. Regarding the sighting in the ocean, a submarine or a whale both seem very likely possibilities. Regarding radar images, the fact that this was a new system with unfamiliar operators and possibly with software glitches, makes me suspicious of the radar evidence. Regarding IR footage from jets, the explanation that they were filming ordinary jet exhausts seems very likely.If we assume that the object observed was indeed a physical object (and unlike you, I think that the evidence is very strong that it was) then if the physical object was indeed an aircraft (a reasonable hypothesis) it would seem to exceed currently known aircraft technology.
Reports of UFO performance are often wildly inaccurate. When we hear anecdotes about great speed we should always ask how this was measured. Often, it turns out that it's just somebody's guess, based on eyeballing whatever it was they thought they were watching.It's easy for people like Nickell to glibly talk about "reconnaissance drones", but does he actually know of any that perform like this thing seemed to? Does he know of any aircraft propulsion method capable of producing that kind of performance without leaving an IR signature? (Jet or rocket exhaust or whatever.)
It makes a lot of sense that the Navy will want to investigate any unidentified aircraft entering US airspace. They could be foreign threats. If there is a stigma against reporting unidentified objects, that will tend to discourage reporting of what might be real aircraft.The Navy does seem to be taking the matter seriously, as indicated by their redesigning their UFO reporting procedures and their encouragement of their aviators to report whatever they see out there,even if it's unidentified.
That 40 miles in less than a minute thing is based on what? A couple of eyewitness statements? One eyewitness? I'm not totally across it. The same goes for what was actually seen on radar. It seems to me that we only have anecdotal reports about that. The radar records are not available, are they? The only hovering observed was that reported by Fravor, wasn't it? Hence submarines and whales.Whales? Submarines submerging? That show up on the Princeton's radars like ascending and descending ballistic missiles? That are observed hovering, flying, chased and photographed by multiple jet aircraft? That might arguably have traversed 40 miles in less than a minute (suggesting upwards of 2,400 mph)?
You see it as dismissal, but I'm still here talking to you about it. What have I dismissed, without due consideration? As I see it, I've merely raised some sensible questions for those who support the hypothesis that there was something out of this world.My argument is that there's a broad gap between your "LGM" and flat Nickell (and JamesR) style debunking and dismissal.
Like what? Russian planes?What if something is out there, probing US air space and Naval defenses, and it isn't "LGM"?
We're all speculating, unless and until investigators sort out what happened.You're speculating there, aren't you?
Not at all. You suggested that skeptics like myself are not giving alien-believers like yourself a fair hearing because of our personal preferences about what the world ought to be like. You wrote that you think our (my) motivation is "People would much prefer to believe that their immediate surroundings operate according to principles that are fully understood in all the important aspects" and so on. This is your speculation on my motives for questioning whether this UFO is an alien visitation.False and intentionally misleading analogy.
I take your point, and you're right. Something can be well established, yet not widely believed.A phenomenon can be very well established and evidenced and still not have an overwhelming consensus of believers. Evolution for example is very well established but only about a third of Americans believe in the scientific version of it.
From my side, I think that most people are probably too busy with other things to do the research to see that UFOs (aliens) are not a real phenomenon. Or else they don't know what to do to put themselves in a position to make an informed judgment on the matter. You don't have that excuse. You're wilfully ignorant.Most people are probably too busy with other things to do the actual research into ufos to see that they are a real phenomenon.
These are aliens you're talking about. Putting themselves in the mindset of human beings, in order to discern whether they might be able to, for instance, handle the truth, would be like you trying to think like an octopus in order to work out whether it was ready for the truth.Maybe they only want to reveal themselves to the people who can handle that truth. It would make sense that they would simultaneously fly about in craft lit up like discos while never really announcing themselves to the governments of the world. Like they were only making themselves present to certain people.
He he. The danger in this kind of thing is that you end up giving yourself away through your projection of your own insecurities onto others.The only thing you ever expose here is your own insecurity over your own worldview and how threatened you feel by phenomena that can't be explained by mundane factors. Which is why you spend so much time here in the Fringe section performing for some imaginary audience of cheering fans. This is a huge ego boost for you and a sort of sacred crusade for your holy cause of scientific reasoning at all costs. Unfortunately it really just shows how pathetically in need of self-importance and fame you are. If you had anywhere near like a fulfilling life you wouldn't need all this puffing yourself up like this. But evidently you don't, which is really sad.
Seriously???Maybe they only want to reveal themselves to the people who can handle that truth
No. For starters, Fravor only said it was like a tic tac.
I don't know where you get the 40 foot measurement from, either. If it's from Fravor's visual description, it's unlikely to be meaningful. It's not like he got out a ruler and measured it.
I note in passing that whales can be 40 feet long.
These are aliens you're talking about. Putting themselves in the mindset of human beings, in order to discern whether they might be able to, for instance, handle the truth, would be like you trying to think like an octopus in order to work out whether it was ready for the truth.
Commander Fravor’s description of what he witnessed on November 14, 2004:
[excerpted from an ABC News interview]
“I can tell you, I think it was not from this world. I’ve seen pretty much about everything that I can see in that realm, and this was nothing close. I have never seen anything in my life, in my history of flying that has the performance, the acceleration—keep in mind this thing had no wings.
You know, you see a lot of interesting things. But to come up on something that’s a 40-foot-long white Tic Tac with no wings, that can move really in any random direction that it wants and go from hovering over the ocean to mirroring us to accelerating to the point where it just disappears—like, poof, then it was gone.”
What's that, then?
Can I have a pre release USB mp3 copy of your next block buster album please with autograph?Maybe I'm Lady Gaga
Ummmm 17901790
That might very well be correct IF IF IF currently our education level has been static since 1790But refusal to admit even the possibility that something new, interesting and important might be revealing itself in some of these cases would seemingly blind us from ever finding out whether there is.
Oh, so he actually thought it was a giant flying tic tac, and not just something that looked like one? Okay, whatever you say.Actually no he didn't.
Not really.A visual estimate of a craft's length by an experienced Navy pilot is certainly more reliable than anything you have to say about it.
The question is: was the giant tic tac there?You know why? Because you weren't there and he was.
I noticed that. Planes and drones, however, are prone to zipping around in the sky and changing direction.Note also that whales are not prone to zip around in the sky and change direction like a ping pong ball like Fravor described.
You're getting way ahead of yourself. There's no point in speculating about beings until you've established that there are beings to speculate about. All we have established so far on that front is that you'd tremendously like there to be beings.I'm entitled to speculations about what these beings motives are just like you are entitled to speculations about flying whales and supersonic drones. Why wouldn't an advanced being know what is good for us and what isn't? They may have been studying us for millions of years by now. Jane Goodal knew chimp psychology pretty well by the time her studies were completed. These beings may know us better than we know ourselves, even assuming they aren't telepathic.
Exactly my point. Now you're getting it!Sounds like a conclusion he reached after having his encounter with the objects.
What craft?Like I said, that's what the ufo phenomenon shows us--a craft beyond any capabilities humans presently have.
No. Apparently he decided to do media after he "saw" the objects.Doesn't have to be an agenda he had before he saw the objects.
Do they? Whatever you say.Apparently some people feel that any admission of the possibility that unidentified flying objects might objectively exist in physical reality is equivalent somehow with belief in "LGM".
Do you think there's a new aerial phenomenon to be examined in this case? To me it looks like same old, same old.The foremost problem that I see with that is that it excludes the possibility of acknowledging unfamiliar new aerial phenomena, simply by fiat.
I think you're dragging your coat on this one.I posted the following quotation maybe a year ago to the 'Power of Anomalies' thread (post #49):
http://sciforums.com/threads/the-power-of-anomalies.161155/page-3#post-3540215
"In 1790 a fireball was reported over Barbotan in southern France, which locals said exploded and resulted in a shower of stones. Naturalist Jean Saint-Amans requested official testimonies, expecting that he wouldn't receive any. Instead he got a signed affidavit from the mayor, along with the sworn affidavits of 300 witnesses (at least one of whom was a university professor). Saint-Amans forwarded it to his friend Pierre Bertholon, editor of the Journal des Sciences Utile. The latter published the affidavit, along with a lament that so many Frenchmen obviously hadn't yet awakened to the Age of Reason:
"How sad, is it not, to see a whole municipality attempt to certify the truth of folk tales... the philosophical reader will draw his own conclusions regarding this document, which attests to an apparently false fact, a physically impossible phenomenon."
(Described on pp. 14 and 15 of Meteorite: Nature and Culture by Maria Golia (2015, Reaktion Books)"
I obviously have no way of knowing whether or not the attitude of the UFO "skeptics" will eventually look just as foolish as the attitude of the meteor "skeptics" does today. But refusal to admit even the possibility that something new, interesting and important might be revealing itself in some of these cases would seemingly blind us from ever finding out whether there is.
Here we are, having a discussion about a particular incident. It is obvious that we are all admitting that there's something to discuss, not denying the possibility of something interesting, as you claim. Where we part company is where you start drawing conclusions that are not supported by the evidence.
He has been knowingly posting ufo cases under that title for sometime now.Did MR start this thread and give it its subject-line? Or was it was split from another thread by our moderators?
Well, it is a ufo and this is what you have to say about ufos:Where did I say they were space aliens?
''intelligences behind ufos''I have never ruled out extraterrestrials. I have simply suggested that the intelligences behind ufos are not of this world. That can include interdimensionals, time travelers, or paranormal beings.
Well, it is a ufo and this is what you have to say about ufos:
''intelligences behind ufos''