Bush: Electable?
It's worth noting, on Bush's approval rating, that pundits are now looking to two poll results and discussing how they measure up in terms of approval. One result shows that Kerry could beat Bush in a head-to-head, 53 - 46. Another shows that Edwards, while still inside the margin of error, could do the same at 49 - 46. While I'm always happy to see a poll number supporting my preferred candidate (e.g. Edwards) I was struck for a moment last night while a CNN pundit (I can't remember which) went on about these poll results suggesting that Bush's approval rating could be below 50% (and no president with an approval above 50% has ever lost) come election day.
These are the first indications we have that the Bush junta is vulnerable. And it's still as much speculation as before. Intuitively, I know the Bush junta is vulnerable, but seeing the ripples on the pond is a bit comforting, no matter how unreliable such statistics are.
Notes around -
Cosmictraveler - Clinton? You're kidding, right? As to the Warren commission? I think the fact that so many folks won't just let JFK die reinforces the point of why such investigative bodies need to be more independent.
Wes - You're not crazy, but it is a question of conflict of interest.
SpyMoose - We chuckled about Kissinger here at Sciforums. And a few pundits did. Why was there no outcry? Because it supported the war wagon, which is what 3/4 of Americans apparently wanted.
In general - I'm learning a lesson of late. It's not that I've made any magical arguments during this period, but I'm watching a close friend, a lifelong Republican, undergoing the last phase of his disengagement from a GOP worldview.
He, like me, shares a childhood memory of a time when even suggesting that the US could come to something like this, a combination of corporate crime, suspect leadership, and intrusive government was considered offensive and grossly overstating the negative aspects of America. It took twenty years to get from A to Z on this one.
And through the war my friend would have said something akin to Dennis Miller's praise of Bush: he's a nice guy, a smart guy, who has been dealt a bad hand.
These days he's starting to wonder if maybe that bad hand isn't part of an ill-conceived plan to stack the deck. To both of us, the difference between what President Bush told Americans--and also what Secretary Powell told the UN--and the failure to find significant evidence of WMD threats is ... well, I can hear my father, or any number of people's fathers I knew, echoing in my mind: "My God, you must really think people are stupid. What's wrong with you? Do you really think that we're all so goddamned stupid that someone could just walk in and do that? Thanks a lot. It's nice to know how much you think of me."
My father, incidentally, woke up a few years ago cold-sweating the realization that yes, the people really are that stupid. It was commerce and economy that broke him. The WMD issue didn't surprise him because, well, he finally figured out that yes, people really are that stupid.
And it's not that they're stupid because they bit, hook, line, and sinker. Not by any means. Such a disparity between the intel and the apparent reality was inconceivable. Insane. Rather like saying, "Wait 'til next week when Jesus gets here and gives us His two cents on the situation." Right. It ain't gonna happen.
But if it does ...? Paint me pink and call me Pontius.
Rather, the stupidity comes from a childlike faith.
What blows my mind is that it's somehow indecent to suggest that Bush is a liar. I mean, that's part of what's at stake with this investigation. Only a couple of the pundits are reminding people, as Tenet's name takes some heat, that the intelligence community did protest the treatment of their work. The issue could still be with Bush.
And for all of the convenient "mistakes" the Bush administration has made, for all the informational inaccuracies that are apparently anybody's fault but the administration's, that by happy accident pander exactly to the administration's political needs and desires, it is still somehow indecent to suggest that President Bush is being dishonest?
Our politicians are snakes. We know this. Americans don't ever stop bitching about politicians. And what, because this man is the President, he's suddenly exempt from what has been known about politicians since Aristophanes' time at least?
In a mythical rendering of life and its symbols, my last transmission to humanity, from somewhere out on the rim of the solar system, will come as I look back toward my home and gasp, "My God, it's full of dolts ...."
I seriously don't get it. It's not like death and carnage is that much of a party, anyway. This administration is corrupt, it is demonstrably dishonest, it has found new ways to besmirch the office of the Presidency, it has pissed on American prestige and credibility, and all to pander to cronies.
But it's not Bush's fault. The intelligence community screwed up. Or it's media conspiracy. Or the Democrats. Or Saddam Hussein. Or homosexuals. Anyone, please, but blaming the Bush administration.
Or so it seems.
Bring me Rumsfeld. Bring me Bush. Bring me Cheney. Powell, Rice, and the rest can walk for all I care. Bring me the big three on a platter and lock them away as America's shame until the last breath dances free of their cowardly, lying lips and I will say that we've got a decent start toward justice.
But I understand. Given an administration that lies regularly with stunningly little cover, given an administration that panders to its cronies, given an administration hell-bent on turning the United States into the new Coruscant, I understand that the absolute only fair thing to do is to let those who have done wrong pick their own jury and determine the scope of the trial. That way, a serial child molester could have some friends censure him for thinking dirty thoughts about children, and thinking isn't illegal.
Indeed, I understand. Allowing someone with a massive vested interest to determine the scope and nature of an inquiry that conflicts with that vested interest is the only fair way to do it, isn't it?
Welcome to America. Please check your brain at the door.