spuriousmonkey said:
That sounds good, but the problem is we don't understand shit about how to make a human. Virtually all research is done on model systems such as the mouse, and still then our knowledge is rather patchy and limited. We are in no position to design anything from scratch. And we won't be in the near or far future. Hence the only option that is left is tinkering with what we have. And we will be doing this without having a clue on what we are doing.
Doesn't that sound promising?
Wow a lot black guile pessimism towards science from the man in the field himself.
First we do know "shit about human" , you may say we do not know every single relevant and irrelevant (mostly irrelevant) detail yet but as of know we already know a lot. And we know more every day.
Second we do not need "to know how to make human" - its is pretty easy and method was known for pretty long time , Malen one f@cks female and u get one in 9 months, you can make it in lab now too ,and even from single cell (well a bunch of cells,lots discarded junk in the process -technology is young). Problem is that the resul is shitty - human are crappy and we dont need to replicate more of them. They are already replicating in ridicolous quantities -more than enough for any need. And most of them is pure trash ,their sole result of existence is catastrophical diminuation of natural resources.
And third and most important: You seem to be dead set -if its not human ,we dont need it . looks this way -if its human we dont need it. We need BETTER. We dont need better medecine ,cybernetic enchancment, eugenics programs, or anything like that. -Base is junk ,discard it and work with new one. Resources spent to patch humans into something better are not worth it .Not saying it can't be done - just not worth time and resources invested.
You say we are in no position to "anything from scratch" . Well that depends how you define " scratch" . While it could be nice and sweet to be a little god and desing your own personal unverse "from scratch" then we indeed far from this celestial competence. But we can do humble things pretty well - such as a new materials , power generation technolgies , complex mahcinery , and ohh and behold !- systems for information processing ,analysis and (maybe surprise to you) decision making and problem solving .
Yah I said it - decision making and problem solving. We already have it - various AI expert systems . It in pretty early stage and takes a microscope to distinguish self managed systems from carefully scripted ones and they only appeared in last 15 years . We already have enough data input/output and computing technologies to do anything humans cant ever dream off doing by themselves , we even have enough data processing technologies to read and analyze this data without a weak human link. Only thing which is in not developed enough yet is learning, decision making and problem solving.
A lot of IT technology as of now serves a crutch for deficient humans - half of all IT (number pulled straight out of my ass ) is dedicated to make a bridge between slow thinking human and data available . Because majority decision making and problem solving need to be made by humans ,then translate back his decision to the system. But more and more systems are completely automated now , in recent years number of those systems and even entire fields which are compltely automated grew up immensely . Humans there are just supervisors adjusting control parameters - system does everythign else by itself . And you know what? -those systems are designed by humans. Now talk about "not being able to design anything".
Systems is a broad term . Evertyhing is a system - human society is one too. Decision makign is one as well. Natural selection and evolution too. Now we dont need to replicate exactly any of them - thats not what we need ,we need to design better ones. Such as for example power generations and energy transfer system. Or optical signal processing .Or safe data storage/retrieval/computing .
Now you may argue that we didnt design such things as nanosystems ( self replication and repair) or higher level of decision making and problem solving (AI ) - but we did design them, they are not as good as natural ones yet , though. Same way as early steam powered engines were ineffeicent compared to natural ones .Now compare contemporary fission nuclear power plant to anything on earth in terms of serviceablity ,energy output, manageablity,cost ,etc. Or military guiding and targeting systems - they blow anything natrual out of the water.
Now our replicating and self repair systems are pretty crude (conveyor) .As well as AI (expert systems, automated control and management systems) . -Doesnt mean we can't perfect them in long run . Up to the point when thye can perfect,design and maintain themselves.
We can't make a human equivalent AI yet - but thats not because its not possible.Its simply because we are not there yet and 95% of humans isntead of working towards it spent their worthless lifes sleeping,replicating ,consuming, polluting . Most of them are simply too dumb to do anything usefull , many who are smart enough do other irrelvant things (in best case slightly relevant) and only a tiny bit works to improve it . Even worse those 95% are opposing directly and indirectly try to ruin most of the job those 5% do . Now talk about inneficient system!.