War on Iran

On the Art of the Surrender

Columnist Nicholas Kristof↱ suggests:

The Iran war ended, as Trump had predicted in March, with a surrender. Unfortunately, it was a US surrender. But too many people seem to be learning the wrong lesson. The problem was not getting out of the war, but getting in.

Ever since Homer, we've stupidly rushed into wars; Achilles called the Trojan war "insane." But each generation seems to need to learn anew the importance of distrusting hawks who promise painless victories.
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It's been a while since Clive Barker wrote:

Nothing ever begins.

There is no first moment; no single word or place from which this or any other story springs.

The threads can always be traced back to some earlier tale, and to the tales that preceded that; though as the narrator's voice recedes the connections will seem to grow more tenuous, for each age will want the tale told as if it were of its own making.
​

It's not a matter of life imitating art; rather, the art spoke of something real: "Thus the pagan will be sanctified, the tragic become laughable; great lovers will stoop to sentiment, and demons dwindle to clockwork toys."

Kristof offered a longer take↱, as well:

President Trump declared in March that a deal to end his war with Iran would require "unconditional surrender," but that wasn't quite right. The preliminary agreement he just reached with the Iranian regime was more like a conditional surrender — by the United States.

In the past few days, various Republicans and war hawks have emerged, seemingly bewildered, to criticize the deal. "Trump has surrendered to Iran," wrote Erick Erickson, a conservative commentator. Senator Ted Cruz of Texas warned, "Giving billions of dollars to theocratic lunatics who want to murder us is not a good idea."

The criticisms are correct: The Iran deal is a major setback. It gives immediate relief to Iran, including the prompt unfreezing of billions of dollars of Iranian assets and later a $300 billion fund to help rebuild Iran. And it appears to open the door to Iran gaining at least partial control over the Strait of Hormuz, with the ability, 60 days hence, to charge fees of ships transiting the strait.

"This is the worst foreign policy blunder in decades," lamented Senator Bill Cassidy of Louisiana.

Yet these denunciations miss the most important point. Trump's fundamental mistake was not ending the war but getting into it in the first place.
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"At this stage, Trump was right to retreat," Kristof continues, "for he had no good options … The unpalatable truth is that Iran won the war".

And he does the Homer thing:

This lesson about avoiding needless wars is not a new one but apparently must be learned afresh by every generation. In the "Iliad," Achilles lamented "this insane voyage" to wage the Trojan War, "fighting other soldiers to win their wives as prizes."

Indeed, ever since Homer wrote of the Greeks' attempted regime change in Troy, we've seen that the grander the military ambition, the more wary we should be.
​

And a prediction we can check as time reveals the answers:

I fear one result of this war is that Iran will be more likely to pursue nuclear weapons. My guess is that the 60-day negotiating period will be extended, that Iran will slow-walk nuclear negotiations and that Trump will be reluctant to accept anything that looks like the Obama accord. Then Trump will lose interest in the same way he seems to have forgotten about Gaza. There will be almost no appetite in America for another Iran war, and the newly empowered Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps will weigh whether to adopt North Korea's strategy and try to build a nuclear arsenal to seal its regional primacy.​

And there are platitudes, such as, "Those whom we have betrayed the most are ordinary Iranians"; and there is also the obvious point, that "the lesson of history is that when you see a cast of overconfident hawks promising painless victory, beware". But the reason why that advice fails, over and over again, that temptation to learn anew, is so well known it is not just the stuff, but also the discussion of legend.

And maybe, in a generational context, it's simply a brain chemistry thing, that the possibility of success where all of history has failed is an inevitable temptation which, like sin itself, must be resisted without being understood. It's one thing to not know unless we try, but this is war. And what history tells is that we still don't learn. It's not just that each generation must learn anew, but also that their predecessors did not necessarily figure it out last time. People are, after all, human.
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Notes:

Barker, Clive. Weaveworld. New York: Poseidon, 1987.

Kristof, Nicholas. "Trump Was Right. The War Ended With a Surrender." The New York Times. 20 June 2026. NYTimes.com. 20 June 2026. https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/20/opinion/trump-iran-republicans-hormuz.html

 
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The reflecting pool is actually a reasonable metaphor for the "peace deal" with Iran...
Obama spent a long time over it, fixing a number of underlying issues, but there were still some issues.
Trump comes along and takes a proverbial dump in the middle of it, empties it, applies a thin veneer of tack, refills it saying it is the best swimming-pool / peace-deal ever (and how no other President could possibly have done what he did, all while the MAGA cheerleaders are performing their cult's dance), and for a moment it looked okay. Until reality took its toll. And now it is an eyesore, with the repairs failing and making it look even worse than it ever was. And the same issues persist.
Tim Walz has made the same point, but applied the metaphor more broadly: “Found an imaginary problem, said only they could fix it, didn’t listen to experts, found buddies who grifted millions, failed miserably, bragged how great it went. The entire Trump presidency in a nutshell.”


Seems spot-on to me.
 
Trump is now blaming "vandalism" for the disaster of the reflecting pool, and people have even been arrested for simply touching the blue material that's lifting up. So will see if he also blames some equivalent for the disaster of whatever Iran deal he comes up with, or for not getting one at all.
 
Trump is now blaming "vandalism" for the disaster of the reflecting pool, and people have even been arrested for simply touching the blue material that's lifting up. So will see if he also blames some equivalent for the disaster of whatever Iran deal he comes up with, or for not getting one at all.
Oh he’s lined up Vance for that already. Can’t have it blamed on Witkoff or his creepy son in law.
 
And maybe, in a generational context, it's simply a brain chemistry thing, that the possibility of success where all of history has failed is an inevitable temptation which, like sin itself, must be resisted without being understood. It's one thing to not know unless we try, but this is war. And what history tells is that we still don't learn. It's not just that each generation must learn anew, but also that their predecessors did not necessarily figure it out last time. People are, after all, human.
This spoke to a lot of what's going on. There's always the fact that politics is filtering for the largest egos (who else would run for high office?) and when they win they often bring their grandiose thinking. It's not just that we don't learn, it's that when some of us do learn it still doesn't prevent the scum rising to the top in politics.

Also, props for the Clive Barker reference - especially apt as the carpet metaphor resonated with Iran (Persia) being longtime masters of carpet weaving. If only we could weave something in which to get away from our present Scourge.
 
Oh he’s lined up Vance for that already. Can’t have it blamed on Witkoff or his creepy son in law.
Well, he's acting as if he wants all the credit for the getting the negotiations called off:

Does he think that the negotiations will be bad for the US, and so wants to stop them from happening, without actually saying that he wants to? Hmmm.
 
Well, he's acting as if he wants all the credit for the getting the negotiations called off:

Does he think that the negotiations will be bad for the US, and so wants to stop them from happening, without actually saying that he wants to? Hmmm.
There’s always a risk of sanewashing this man’s actions. He’s so confused he doesn’t even realise that issuing threats as negotiations get under way is a good recipe for breaking them off.

Today’s post about a “great daughter”, which has been described as covfefe x 1000, illustrates the degree to which he is losing it. Nobody can stop him posting on social media and his predilection for doing that gives us all a ringside seat to observe the progress of his dementia.
 
Listening to JD Vance in his press conference after the first day:

“Yesterday was a very, very good day. We made a lot of good progress… The Iranians have agreed to invite IAEA inspectors back into their country. That is a major milestone for the American people.”

So, are these the same IAEA inspectors that were in the JCPOA that Trump pulled the US out of? Yes, the same inspectors that were still in Iran up until the US started bombing Iran.

And what do the US get in return?
"If there is [sic] any frozen Iranian assets that are unfrozen, the money would actually go to buy American soy, American corn, and American wheat for the benefit of the Iranian people... A classic Trump deal."

So this is what it was all about: bombing Iran to force them to buy American crops???

The US is also allowing them ballistic missile capability (well, it wouldn't be right that they don't have it while their neighbours do, says Trump #1).
The US is allowing them to keep their uranium stockpile (well, when it comes to using it for electricity, it wouldn't be fair to stop them, says Trump #1)
The US is also unblocking the Iranian assets (c.$150bn), lifting sanctions so they can sell their oil, and working to set up a $300bn redevelopment fund - not that the latter has been agreed with any other party. But who cares about such piffling little details.

#1 - I'm paraphrasing from his own press conferences

So all in all a big win for the US!! \o/

;)



Oh, and in other news, apparently the cause of the US accidentally bombing the school and killing 100+ schoolgirls was due to them using a derivative of Grok AI.
 
So all in all a big win for the US!! \o/
To quote Trump - the deal is “horrible,” “defective at its core,” “one sided,” a “road to a nuclear weapon,” and “one of the worst and dumbest agreements ever made by the U.S.” - "anyone who makes a deal like that is an idiot." The US “tried to bribe their way out, and you know what the Iranians did — they laughed!" Also "they said he’s a stupid son of a bitch."

(About Obama's deal of course, which was better in every way than Trump's.)
 
On Duty and Because-Of-Course

Because, of course:

When Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth was asked about the toll of the conflict with Iran in March, he told reporters that "almost 90%" of the 400 injured American service members had sustained only minor injuries and had since returned to duty.

Now, some of those wounded soldiers tell CBS News the injuries were far more serious than the official designation provided by the military.

Chief Warrant Officer Rodney Bearman's body was riddled with shrapnel in the early hours of the war on March 1 when an Iranian drone slammed into his work station in Kuwait. Medical records reviewed by CBS News show he also suffered a concussion, hearing and vision loss, and damage to his lungs. The Army has classified his condition as "not seriously injured."

"That assessment is unacceptable," his wife, Amy Bearman, told CBS News in an interview.

Chief Bearman, 57, was one of more than 20 hurt in the deadliest strike of the conflict on American soldiers and the worst attack on American troops since 2021. The Bearmans are also among several survivors and their families who told CBS News they weren't being treated by the military as combat casualties for reasons they could not understand — a claim an Army spokesman strongly denied.

In several cases, injured service members said they had been cleared for duty. But that "duty" involves active orders to recuperate from injuries in specialized "soldier recovery units." (A Pentagon spokesperson told CBS News that soldiers in recovery units are not counted as having returned to duty.)


(Kaplan and Kaplan↱)​

Heckuva job, Petey. Somebody get that man a drink. Oh, wait.
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Notes:

Kaplan, Jonah and MIchael Kaplan. "Wounded soldiers, families accuse Army of downplaying war injuries" CBS News. 24 June 2026. CBSNews.com. 24 June 2026. https://www.cbsnews.com/news/wounded-soldiers-families-accuse-army-downplaying-war-injuries/
 
In (un)surprising news, the ceasefire is officially over, as USA and Iran trade blows. And I'm not talking about the World Cup (where corruption again rears its head - and whodathunkit that Trump would be involved in that as well!). The ceasefire broke down because of disagreements as to routing of ships through the Strait of Hormuz, and, well, who knows where things go from here. Maybe it's just that Trump and his cronies have made sufficient trades betting on increasing oil prices that he now needed to ensure that the prices went up - and they have, currently up 5-6% today.
Who knows. Would be interesting to see the timing of any trades around this, though.
 
War as spectator sport:

This is really boring.
So, when are we gonna bomb another school?
and
This time could we use an incendiary like napalm?
I mean, really: Who doesn't love the smell of burning children?
 
Maybe it's just that Trump and his cronies have made sufficient trades betting on increasing oil prices that he now needed to ensure that the prices went up - and they have, currently up 5-6% today.
If so, Turnip & Co. are definitely in the mode of "who cares if we torpedo GOP prospects in 26 and 28, as long as we rake in some more billions." Keeping oil prices up any longer would keep the inflation going and make flipping Congress likelier. (though the Platner idiot in Maine is mos def not helping and should let someone with a less dirty history step up while they'd still have time to get themselves known)
 
War as spectator sport:

This is really boring.
So, when are we gonna bomb another school?
and
This time could we use an incendiary like napalm?
I mean, really: Who doesn't love the smell of burning children?
Reminds of Robert Duvall's famous line in Apocalypse Now.
 
War as spectator sport:

This is really boring.
So, when are we gonna bomb another school?
and
This time could we use an incendiary like napalm?
I mean, really: Who doesn't love the smell of burning children?
w - Copy.jpg
The 'beautiful' still form, hides the dynamic of a spear through the throat of a child.
 
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^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Only the mindset of a naïve adolescent or young adult gets seduced by and trapped in Zionist fantasies (impulsively trying to make them real). The Iran War is more difficult to get out of than the Vietnam and Afghanistan wars combined. Iran has essentially hijacked and tied the US mobile military to the Strait indefinitely. It can't leave without Iran terrorizing and toll-pirating the fossil fuel shipping industry. But Iran still stifles that anyway even with US presence in the region. Bound for damnation and the continuing wrecking of the global economy either way.
_
 
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It seems that any idiot with military hardware can start a war. Disengaging from that idiocy runs into an ego problem.
One needs to ask: Was Iran interfering with shipping through the strait of hormuz before the us and israel started bombing them?
If not, then why would you think that they would behave differently if the bombing stops?
It seems that we may be being led by idiots with massively antisocial egos. or.................................................................................................

imho Iran ain't the problem
and
Claiming that Iran is the problem may be the real problem?

war on poverty
war on drugs
war on cancer
(there seems to be a pattern here)
war on sanity?
 
war on poverty
war on drugs
war on cancer
(there seems to be a pattern here)
war on sanity?
Deep systemic change requires long time horizons and difficult work and delicate complex negotiations with reality. Politicians like to use the rhetoric of "war on" because it makes it sound like they're all for quick decisive action that will crush some sort of "enemy" and start showing results during an election cycle. It all plays into that populist romance of a strong person who will roll up their sleeves and fix things in some dramatic and uncompromising way.
 
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