Stay tuned to China. They're about one generation away from browbeating the entire population into fluency in Mandarin. Once that happens, they can introduce the phonetic syllabary that's been under development for decades.
They can't do this now. As I noted earlier, their non-phonetic writing system, reinforced by a four-millennium continuity of government and culture, has resulted in all Chinese languages using the same words in the same syntax--about 98% in formal writing, anyway. They are just pronounced differently--vastly so: "five" is
wu in Mandarin and
ng in Cantonese, but they are the same word, from Ancient Chinese
ngwu. And of course they have different tones. Mandarin has a four-tone paradigm, but Cantonese has twelve.
Chinese can read each other's writing, which helps preserve the solidarity of the nation, but only because
they do not use a phonetic system.
A syllabary is probably better than an alphabet for Chinese. There are only 400 syllables that conform to the language's phonetic limitations, each one of which can have one of four tones. 1600 symbols is not hard to learn; Chinese children are expected to know more than that in the fourth grade, and Japanese people have to know 2,000 just to read a newspaper.
I haven't studied the proposed syllabary but I believe it has a logical structure so there's some recognition of the four phonemes (maximum) that make up each morpheme:
- (Optional) starting consonant
- (Mandatory) vowel, diphthong or triphthong
- (Optional) final consonant, limited to N or NG
- (Mandatory) tone, from the set high/rising/falling/low.
We would have a similar problem, albeit lesser, if we tried to reform English spelling to make it more phonetic.
How do we reconcile American LAB-ruh-TAW-ree with British luh-BAW-ruh-tree? American can't and up with British cahn't and oop? American homonyms liter and leader, latter and ladder, with two different pronunciations in British? American tune (toon) and new (noo) with British tyoon and nyoo? American far and murder with British fah and muhduh?