"... Saudi Arabia and other OPEC nations including those in West Africa are willing and able to replace any lost Libyan oil as soon as companies ask for it, including crude of the same quality, a Saudi Arabian oil official said. ..." From: http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aReZJxblGviw&pos=2 This is a blow to Gaddaffi as now EU and the US will not hold back for fear of the resulting rise in oil prices (they were above $100/brl) I.e. it is more likely that a no-fly zone will be established. That will make it more possible that the anti-Gaddaffi fraction of the Army can go to Tripoli with their tanks, etc as the still loyal air force units will not be able to bomb them. I would guess that Gaddaffi is gone by the end of the month.