I don't believe I have used anywhere that Abiogenesis is a simple process. And of course it has been 13.8 billion years.It appears that things are not that simple.
Of course you will blur the waters by using the usual wild card, the absolute argument:
"Anything can happen in billion years"
It is misleading when you argue that its that simple. There must be an unidentified key element (perhaps together with chemical natural selection).
I know that there is no argument that can convinve you about anything
And I'm sure that it is not blurring the waters by stating that "at one time there was no life, then there was" And further that the only scientific answer to that is abiogenesis, encompassing a variable number of pathways.
So far as I can see, we only have one active dissenter from the highlighted bit, speaking scientifically. I am ignoring at this time the semantics and pedant involved with Abiogenesis.