OK. That's a very naive (and ultimately flawed) take on the economy of shipping but let's go with that. And your trucking company makes billions, allowing more people to move more goods for less money and stimulating the economy, thus causing increased oil demand, which in return causes oil prices to recover. Problem solved. Correlation does not equal causation. A common flaw in reasoning. The number of pirates may inversely correlate to the degree of global warming, but that does not mean that one has anything to do with the other. The most common example is Leonard Koppett's observation that the winner of the Super Bowl has accurately "predicted" the strength of the economy - it had a 95% success rate through 1998. Another fun example: Please Register or Log in to view the hidden image! If Maine divorces and the consumption of margarine has nothing to do with each other, how do you explain the almost perfect correspondence between divorce rate in Maine and US per capita margarine consumption? Please answer this important point.