2016 U.S. General Election Day Notes

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Tiassa, Nov 8, 2016.

  1. Tiassa Let us not launch the boat ... Staff Member

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    FiveThirtyEight.com

    At top of hour, FiveThirtyEight Forecast Bot↱ notes: "Trump wins Mississippi and Oklahoma. Our model now gives him a 26 percent chance of winning the election."
     
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  3. Tiassa Let us not launch the boat ... Staff Member

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    Senate Notes

    Rep. Tammy Duckworth (D) projected to defeat Sen. Mark Kirk (R) in Illinois

    Sen. Marco Rubio (R) projected to defeat Patrick Murphy in Florida.
     
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  5. Tiassa Let us not launch the boat ... Staff Member

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  7. Tiassa Let us not launch the boat ... Staff Member

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    Miami Herald: Polling Site News

    Amy Sherman: Headline ― "Broward precinct clerks fired after argument on where to stand"
     
  8. Tiassa Let us not launch the boat ... Staff Member

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    Missouri: Trump

    Missouri is now projected for Donald Trump.

    Clinton 75 | 72 Trump
     
  9. Tiassa Let us not launch the boat ... Staff Member

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    Virginia: Nailbiter

    Norfolk, Fairfax County, Loudon County, Prince William County: Hillary Clinton has enough votes left to win the commonwealth, but Democrats are starting to show their fraying nerves.
     
  10. Tiassa Let us not launch the boat ... Staff Member

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    New Mexico: Clinton

    New Mexico is now projected for Hillary Clinton.

    I've lost track of the score ....

    Clinton 109 | 137 Trump
     
  11. Tiassa Let us not launch the boat ... Staff Member

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    FiveThirtyEight.com

    Harry Enten: "Clinton now leads in Virginia. There is still vote out in Democratic areas. It’s close, but Clinton should win there." [21.51 ET]
     
  12. iceaura Valued Senior Member

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    Coming in to today, the striking thing about 538's (and everybody else's) projections was how few states were really in play - the odds were 75/25 or wider for 43 of the fifty states. There are a lot more nailbiters - regardless of outcome - than was implied.

    Give Nate credit, though - he posted surprisingly high chance of Clinton winning the electoral vote and losing the popular vote. That implies narrow wins, however secure.
     
    Last edited: Nov 9, 2016
  13. Magical Realist Valued Senior Member

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    Hillary's GOT to win Michigan and Wisconsin! I can't believe they are in question now..
     
  14. iceaura Valued Senior Member

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    I'm kind of surprised the Dems were counting on Wisconsin - or, I guess, not really surprised by anything in the way of cluelessness from that crowd, but as a neighbor of Wisconsin I sort of assumed it would lean Republican in anyone's assessment.

    Michigan and Wisconsin would be my initial nominations for checking out actual vote fraud, btw, starting with the raw data of the exit polls - as opposed to voter suppression in North Carolina and Florida and the like, which has more or less been slapped in our faces openly. Of course the Dems have been wrongfooted badly on this, spending the past few months mocking the Republican charges without apparently twigging to the standard pattern of such bogus accusations so well established now by that Party. But it's still worth taking a look at imho, depending on the exit polls.
     
  15. Kittamaru Ashes to ashes, dust to dust. Adieu, Sciforums. Valued Senior Member

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    it appears that the time had come . . . today is the day America apparently decided to burn it all down.

    fucking terrifying
     
  16. iceaura Valued Senior Member

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    The news people report that the Canadian Immigration website - the official one - has been crashed by demand.
     
  17. ElectricFetus Sanity going, going, gone Valued Senior Member

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    I laughed, then look that up, so that not a joke, then I laughed some more.
     
  18. madanthonywayne Morning in America Registered Senior Member

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    Trump wins.......finally time for bed after a long day.
     
  19. ElectricFetus Sanity going, going, gone Valued Senior Member

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    Congratulations.
     
  20. joepistole Deacon Blues Valued Senior Member

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    We know what Trump promised; now we need to understand what what he will do.
     
  21. madanthonywayne Morning in America Registered Senior Member

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    He's promised to undue all of Obama's executive orders on the first day and immediately call for a vote to repeal Obamacare.

    He'll be able to undue most of the Obama presidency on the first day. Once Obamacare is repealed and replaced, he'll have undone almost all of it.
     
  22. joepistole Deacon Blues Valued Senior Member

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    Yeah, let's see how that works out.

    Please Register or Log in to view the hidden image!

    I'm sure the image of 20 million people who had healthcare under Obamacare being turned out without healthcare insurance will go down really well. Let's see how well that works out.

    Let's see how well it works out when he undoes all of Obama's executive orders.
     
  23. madanthonywayne Morning in America Registered Senior Member

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    We certainly will.
     

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