OK I want buy a water front and I am prepared to wait but how far above current levels should you go so if the sea does not stop rising to end up with a water front in say 12 years?... Alex
Where is that from? Here's another of erosion on some of Sydney's smaller beaches from a couple of seasons ago, during king tides and a severe storm..... http://www.wrl.unsw.edu.au/video/drone-footage-of-severe-coastal-erosion-on-sydneys-northern-beaches
California. A lot of expensive California real estate has washed out to sea over the years. The process is speeding up, as it is also in England and every other seacoast. But you can have your house inland, should you live too far north or not far enough
Don't panic, some 3 billion years ago, the world was just water with no visible land. So beaches come and go.
While that may be true to some extent, it is also true that humans are accelerating climate change which leads to more catastrophic events occurring more frequently. Are you?
https://climate.nasa.gov/scientific-consensus/ Please Register or Log in to view the hidden image! https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-why-scientists-think-100-of-global-warming-is-due-to-humans https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/03/ar4-wg1-chapter1.pdf Executive Summary: Awareness and a partial understanding of most of the interactive processes in the Earth system that govern climate and climate change predate the IPCC, often by many decades. A deeper understanding and quantification of these processes and their incorporation in climate models have progressed rapidly since the IPCC First Assessment Report in 1990. As climate science and the Earth’s climate have continued to evolve over recent decades, increasing evidence of anthropogenic influences on climate change has been found. Correspondingly, the IPCC has made increasingly more definitive statements about human impacts on climate. Debate has stimulated a wide variety of climate change research. The results of this research have refined but not significantly redirected the main scientific conclusions from the sequence of IPCC assessments. <<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Some science.
In geological terms, we are only around for a billionth of a second, so the foreseeable future to us is totally irrelevant.
True. But still, I bet you'd get mad if someone was about to kill you or your kids - even though you (and they) are around for effectively zero time in geological terms.
Oceanfront? Some places the sea level will drop. Any places the sea level is due to rise, multiply the predicted (best estimate) by the extreme factor - often between 3 and 12 - indicated by the current working model (to cover tidal effects, erosion, compaction, etc). That will give you a sort of average high - then calculate the storm surges etc expected from that base. The average global sea level rise hardly matters, if you're buying less than a thousand miles of coastline or so. The rest of us, not being rocks, do not live in geological terms, but in human lifespan terms - the foreseeable future is far more relevant than the geological one, for us.