When will you die? (probability-wise)

Discussion in 'Free Thoughts' started by draqon, Apr 14, 2007.

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When will you die? (probability-wise)

  1. less than 1 year

    10.0%
  2. 1 year

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  3. 2 years

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  4. 3 years - 5 years

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  5. 5 years- 10 years

    15.0%
  6. 10 years - 15 years

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  7. 15 years - 20 years

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  8. 20 years - 30 years

    10.0%
  9. 30 years - 40 years

    10.0%
  10. 40 years - 50 years

    5.0%
  11. 50 years - 60 years

    5.0%
  12. 60 years - 70 years

    10.0%
  13. 70 years - 80 years

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  14. 90 years - 100 years

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  15. more than 100 years ( unlike statistics and probability )

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  16. I will not die ( unlike 100% mortal rate statics for all humans ever to live)

    5.0%
  17. I smoke, drink, and engage in activities that can kill me right now (answer above)

    10.0%
  18. Other ( I refuse to know when I will die)

    10.0%
  19. I dont wish to know because, I am afraid (or other)

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  20. other (I never was alive)

    10.0%
  1. draqon Banned Banned

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    When will you die? (probability-wise) and based on general statistics.
    Max age=100 years
    Medium age=70 years
     
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  3. redarmy11 Registered Senior Member

    Messages:
    7,658
    Less than 1 year.

    Ha ha. Suck on that, God!
     
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  5. draqon Banned Banned

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    e_x =\sum_{t=1}^{\infty}\,_tp_x = \sum_{t=0}^{\infty}t \,_tp_x q_{x+t}

    to calculate your life probability.

    "These values are then used to calculate a life table, from which one can calculate the probability of surviving to each age. In actuarial notation the probability of surviving from age x to age x+n is denoted \,_np_x\! and the probability of dying during age x (i.e. between ages x and x+1) is denoted q_x\!.

    The life expectancy at age x, denoted \,e_x\!, is then calculated by adding up the probabilities to survive to every age. This is the expected number of complete years lived (one may think of it as the number of birthdays they celebrate)."

    wiki
     
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  7. Plazma Inferno! Ding Ding Ding Ding Administrator

    Messages:
    4,610
    Don't know when, but it will be food poisoning, diarrhoea... Something really embarrassing.
     
  8. GeoffP Caput gerat lupinum Valued Senior Member

    Messages:
    22,087
    Maybe you'll be stabbed to death with a duck.

    A fowler fate I cannot imagine.
     
  9. draqon Banned Banned

    Messages:
    35,006
    vote plz.
     
  10. Baron Max Registered Senior Member

    Messages:
    23,053
    What a stupid poll. And what does it prove or show?

    Baron Max
     
  11. draqon Banned Banned

    Messages:
    35,006
    assumptions/beliefs/wishes
     
  12. tablariddim forexU2 Valued Senior Member

    Messages:
    4,795
    A Real Age questionnaire suggested I will live to 83, based on my healthy and unhealthy habits, barring any unforseen accidents. Considering I smoke more than a pack of cigarettes and drink at least 3 units of alcohol a day, 83 sounds more than reasonable to me.
     
  13. redarmy11 Registered Senior Member

    Messages:
    7,658
    Was that online? Do we have a link?
     
  14. pasquala Living on a Prayer Registered Senior Member

    Messages:
    148
    I checked in on 5 to 10 years because of health reasons. But who knows what the future holds. If I learn to manage better I could last way beyond that.
     
  15. Plazma Inferno! Ding Ding Ding Ding Administrator

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  16. redarmy11 Registered Senior Member

    Messages:
    7,658
    Heh. Just done that. Um, I'm frightened.
     
  17. swivel Sci-Fi Author Valued Senior Member

    Messages:
    2,494
    BWWAAHAHHAAAHAHAAA!!!
     
  18. draqon Banned Banned

    Messages:
    35,006
    Do you realize what death means?
    Every day passes by and the time being alive gets shorter.
    And that food you eat kills you even more, because it has sat. fats...too much carbs...not enough vitamins.

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    The slow ticking clock in every cell, apoptosis in genes has forever decided your destiny of the death to come. But will you shorten that day?

    How do you feel now?
     
  19. Plazma Inferno! Ding Ding Ding Ding Administrator

    Messages:
    4,610
    Yet 1,363,535,005 seconds of enjoying in Earth's pleasures.
     
  20. draqon Banned Banned

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    35,006
    thats big number in seconds...but 120 of them are already gone forever.

    that is just 4 decades until it halts.
     
  21. tablariddim forexU2 Valued Senior Member

    Messages:
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  22. Syzygys As a mother, I am telling you Valued Senior Member

    Messages:
    12,671
    80-90 is missing, I was going for at 90
     
  23. leopold Valued Senior Member

    Messages:
    17,455
    it said i was already dead. hmmm. . . i think it's lying but i'm not sure.
     

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