German prognostications of a long, bloody war in Iraq didn't pan out. Arab media reports of fierce resistance didn't pan out. Just like in Afghanistan. Does crying wolf once too many times lead to a different outlook next time, if there is a next time? http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2003/05/01/MN306600.DTL
No it won't change a thing. Those that are not prepared to act will always make the same claims to attempt to make their view seem credible.