View Full Version : The "4 ways tie" in Michigan


Syzygys
01-15-08, 08:54 PM
A few days ago on Fox News they were trying to convince me that according to the polls, it is a close tie for 4 Reps and the race is pretty tight.

Now the numbers are in, and looks like it wasn't a 4 ways tie, not even close. The candidate who they incorrectly pushed into the 4 was Giuliani, he got only the 6th place with 3%. Now I see a problem with such a big difference between their poll and the result: their poll people and system either sucks big time, or they were tinkering with the numbers, just to show Rudy in a prettier color....

Otherwise the result is pretty much what I expected, Hillary and Romney winning. Money talks, everything else walks....

draqon
01-15-08, 10:08 PM
Hillary Woooooooooooon!!!

http://img.villagephotos.com/p/2005-7/1054798/hillary_closer.jpg

madanthonywayne
01-16-08, 01:13 AM
Hillary Woooooooooooon!!!
http://img.villagephotos.com/p/2005-7/1054798/hillary_closer.jpg
Good one!

Regarding Romney winning, this race is really wide open. McCains wins one, Hucabee wins one, Thompson has a good chance in South Carolina, Guiliani is pinning his hopes on Florida. It's really anyone's race on the Republican side.

Syzygys
01-16-08, 04:13 PM
Hillary Woooooooooooon!!!


Thanks for noticing that this thread is about Republicans....By the way she didn't win any delegates...

Good one!

Regarding Romney winning, this race is really wide open. McCains wins one, Hucabee wins one, Thompson has a good chance in South Carolina, Guiliani is pinning his hopes on Florida. It's really anyone's race on the Republican side.

That is what Fox news trying to implicate, but they are wrong. According to the delegate count Romney is leading with 52 and Huckabee is quite behind with 22. McCain is way more down with 15.

Even if Rudy wins Florida, he will get just a % of the delegates, let's say 40%, and since he has zero so far, that 40% means maybe 20, so he wouldn't even get close to the 2 frontrunners.

So as far as I see it, it is not even a 2 way tie. SC by the way isn't that important either because Nevada has 40% more delegates (since the halving of SC), and I bet Romney will clear out NV, which has the 3rd biggest number of Mormons...

Here are the numbers:

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/scorecard/#val=R

Actually the Dems' race isn't a 2 way tie either because Hillary has 190 compared to Obama's 103... One could say it is early in the race, but that is a siggnifficant lead...