Undecided
08-05-04, 03:01 PM
Well it seems that North Korea has the ability to strike the US according to the well respected and much vaunted Janes publication.
Emerging reports indicate that the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (North Korea - DPRK) is developing-- and is in the process of deploying--at least two new ballistic missile systems.
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The first is a land-based road-mobile medium-range ballistic missile (MRBM)/intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) with an estimated range of 2,500-4,000km. The second is a companion submarine or ship-mounted ballistic missile system with a range of at least 2,500km.
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The R-27 was an excellent choice upon which the DPRK could build a new system. The liquid-fuelled missile features 40-year-old technology and is well within the level of skill and industrialisation of the DPRK. More significantly, the R-27 engine was designed by the Isayev Design Bureau, which had also developed the 9D21 engine. This was being produced by the DPRK for its Hwasong 5/6 (Scud B/C) and, in a modified form, for the No-dong. The R-27 also represents a proven system that the DPRK would be able to develop and deploy without having to conduct a significant test and evaluation programme.
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http://www.janes.com/defence/news/jdw/jdw040802_1_n.shtml
In another article the Russians deny that they helped NK develop this missile:
Russian military experts with close links to the government poured scorn yesterday on claims that Moscow has helped North Korea develop two new ballistic missile systems capable of hitting mainland America with nuclear warheads.
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"[This] would fundamentally alter the missile threat posed by [North Korea] ... and could finally provide its leadership with something that it has long sought to obtain - the ability to directly threaten the continental US," the journal claimed. [Jane's Defence Weekly]
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The magazine also suggested that North Korea had obtained further vital missile intelligence from its 1993 purchase of 12 decommissioned Russian Foxtrot and Golf II-class submarines.
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http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/story.jsp?story=548092
This fundamentally shifts this into high gear for the US, but yet there is not a mention of it on the US media! This threat is quite different then from all other threats that NK once had. If it is true that NK bought Golf submarines they would have the ability to launch these SLBM’s against the western coast line of the US. The missiles in question are of a proven design, NK does not have to actually launch these missiles to determine if they are reliable, they were in the Soviet inventory for over 20 years. So you by saying “why does this matter?” it matters a lot. The NK’s have now obtained the ability to destroy US targets not only in the western Pacific with the land based version of this missile which has a range of 4000 km (Guam, and Okinawa are now within NK’s nuclear range), this means that NK has the ability to attack the USA at any time without warning. The US’ $60 billion NMD now cannot defend the US from the very threat it was designed to stop, a North Korean missile attack.
The Soviet SS-N-6 was originally designed to be fired from a submarine. The Soviets also evaluated firing missiles of this class from surface ships that would be designed to blend in with normal commercial shipping. The US Government is evidently concerned that the North Koreans may intend to launch this missile from small commercial vessels that have approached the coastlines of the United States.
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Such a basing mode could be attractive to North Korea because under many scenarios it would under-fly the missile defense system currently being deployed by the United States. It would also require less complex technology than the unflown Taepodong-2 ICBM.
What else does this mean? Well it means even if the US were to destroy NK with nuclear weapons, NK would ultimately would not be destroyed. The whole point of having SLBM forces is to have nuclear assets survive a nuclear strike from the opposing country, so a retaliatory strike would be possible. Should war ever start on the peninsula it would be surprising to have all SLBM submarines out going towards the US, and unmarked merchant ships as well quietly patrolling the world’s oceans. This increases NK’s strength exponentionally because the US would be hard pressed to find a small submarine in the middle of the world’s largest ocean. I will have to imagine that these missions for the North Koreans would be suicide missions; they don’t have anywhere to come back to. So I don't expect to be seeing a war against NK anytime soon. (http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/world/dprk/images/nd-b-map.jpg)
Emerging reports indicate that the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (North Korea - DPRK) is developing-- and is in the process of deploying--at least two new ballistic missile systems.
-------------------------------------
The first is a land-based road-mobile medium-range ballistic missile (MRBM)/intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) with an estimated range of 2,500-4,000km. The second is a companion submarine or ship-mounted ballistic missile system with a range of at least 2,500km.
--------------------------------------
The R-27 was an excellent choice upon which the DPRK could build a new system. The liquid-fuelled missile features 40-year-old technology and is well within the level of skill and industrialisation of the DPRK. More significantly, the R-27 engine was designed by the Isayev Design Bureau, which had also developed the 9D21 engine. This was being produced by the DPRK for its Hwasong 5/6 (Scud B/C) and, in a modified form, for the No-dong. The R-27 also represents a proven system that the DPRK would be able to develop and deploy without having to conduct a significant test and evaluation programme.
------------------------------------
http://www.janes.com/defence/news/jdw/jdw040802_1_n.shtml
In another article the Russians deny that they helped NK develop this missile:
Russian military experts with close links to the government poured scorn yesterday on claims that Moscow has helped North Korea develop two new ballistic missile systems capable of hitting mainland America with nuclear warheads.
--------------------------------------------
"[This] would fundamentally alter the missile threat posed by [North Korea] ... and could finally provide its leadership with something that it has long sought to obtain - the ability to directly threaten the continental US," the journal claimed. [Jane's Defence Weekly]
----------------------------------------------
The magazine also suggested that North Korea had obtained further vital missile intelligence from its 1993 purchase of 12 decommissioned Russian Foxtrot and Golf II-class submarines.
-----------------------------------------------
http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/story.jsp?story=548092
This fundamentally shifts this into high gear for the US, but yet there is not a mention of it on the US media! This threat is quite different then from all other threats that NK once had. If it is true that NK bought Golf submarines they would have the ability to launch these SLBM’s against the western coast line of the US. The missiles in question are of a proven design, NK does not have to actually launch these missiles to determine if they are reliable, they were in the Soviet inventory for over 20 years. So you by saying “why does this matter?” it matters a lot. The NK’s have now obtained the ability to destroy US targets not only in the western Pacific with the land based version of this missile which has a range of 4000 km (Guam, and Okinawa are now within NK’s nuclear range), this means that NK has the ability to attack the USA at any time without warning. The US’ $60 billion NMD now cannot defend the US from the very threat it was designed to stop, a North Korean missile attack.
The Soviet SS-N-6 was originally designed to be fired from a submarine. The Soviets also evaluated firing missiles of this class from surface ships that would be designed to blend in with normal commercial shipping. The US Government is evidently concerned that the North Koreans may intend to launch this missile from small commercial vessels that have approached the coastlines of the United States.
----------------------------------
Such a basing mode could be attractive to North Korea because under many scenarios it would under-fly the missile defense system currently being deployed by the United States. It would also require less complex technology than the unflown Taepodong-2 ICBM.
What else does this mean? Well it means even if the US were to destroy NK with nuclear weapons, NK would ultimately would not be destroyed. The whole point of having SLBM forces is to have nuclear assets survive a nuclear strike from the opposing country, so a retaliatory strike would be possible. Should war ever start on the peninsula it would be surprising to have all SLBM submarines out going towards the US, and unmarked merchant ships as well quietly patrolling the world’s oceans. This increases NK’s strength exponentionally because the US would be hard pressed to find a small submarine in the middle of the world’s largest ocean. I will have to imagine that these missions for the North Koreans would be suicide missions; they don’t have anywhere to come back to. So I don't expect to be seeing a war against NK anytime soon. (http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/world/dprk/images/nd-b-map.jpg)