Zeno
11-23-05, 03:24 PM
Hello everyone!
This really has me stumped. There's a game which is offered by the Washington State lottery called Zip Bingo which costs $2 for one ticket. On
each ticket the player has one set of 35 bingo numbers which are generated randomly and two standard bingo cards called card 1 and card 2. The payoffs are as follows:
Bingo on card 1 --- win $2
Bingo on card 2 --- win $3
Bingo on cards 1 & 2 --- win $5
4 corners on card 1 --- win $10
4 corners on card 2 --- win $15
X on card 1 --- win $25
X on card 2 --- win $35
4 corners on card 1 plus X on card 2 --- win $45
Z on card 1 --- win $100
Z on card 2 --- win $200
Blackout on card 1 --- win $500
Blackout on card 2 --- win $20000
Now, the question is what is the mathematical expectation of this game?
In order to simplify things my calculations are based on the first five payouts only.
Here's my math which must be wrong:
probability of getting a bingo in 35 numbers: 0.27192783.
probability of getting four corners in 35 numbers: 0.043078695.
(0.27192783)*((1-0.043078695)^2)*$2 = $0.498
(0.27192783)*((1-0.043078695)^2)*$3 = $0.747
(0.043078695)*(1-0.043078695)*$10 = $0.412
(0.043078695)*$15 = $0.646
0.498+0.747+0.412+0.646 = $2.30 but each ticket only costs $2!! :confused:
This really has me stumped. There's a game which is offered by the Washington State lottery called Zip Bingo which costs $2 for one ticket. On
each ticket the player has one set of 35 bingo numbers which are generated randomly and two standard bingo cards called card 1 and card 2. The payoffs are as follows:
Bingo on card 1 --- win $2
Bingo on card 2 --- win $3
Bingo on cards 1 & 2 --- win $5
4 corners on card 1 --- win $10
4 corners on card 2 --- win $15
X on card 1 --- win $25
X on card 2 --- win $35
4 corners on card 1 plus X on card 2 --- win $45
Z on card 1 --- win $100
Z on card 2 --- win $200
Blackout on card 1 --- win $500
Blackout on card 2 --- win $20000
Now, the question is what is the mathematical expectation of this game?
In order to simplify things my calculations are based on the first five payouts only.
Here's my math which must be wrong:
probability of getting a bingo in 35 numbers: 0.27192783.
probability of getting four corners in 35 numbers: 0.043078695.
(0.27192783)*((1-0.043078695)^2)*$2 = $0.498
(0.27192783)*((1-0.043078695)^2)*$3 = $0.747
(0.043078695)*(1-0.043078695)*$10 = $0.412
(0.043078695)*$15 = $0.646
0.498+0.747+0.412+0.646 = $2.30 but each ticket only costs $2!! :confused: