Tiassa
07-05-04, 03:36 PM
Bush Loses Advantage to Kerry in War on Terrorism (http://pagead2.googlesyndication.com/pagead/adclick?sa=l&ai=AMD7PTdb6AVelmIKugla35mBk8SeBOfc8QGAwNebA-IwliTfAsOZAQ-bBBQgAYaBA1kDM5MDNwcTN2Awd3dnLzNWam9mc112cuM2btBwN ygDe5AzXhNHAAEAA&num=2&adurl=http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A58293-2004Jun21.html%3Fg&client=ca-pub-1153167048728792) (Washington Post)
Note: While everything else about this topic will generally be normal insofar as anything is normal around here, I have snagged the above link from a Google advert at the top of the page. The citation at the end of this post will contain the straight link to the Washington Post website, but ... well, if you read the article, click the above link. I have it in the back of my mind somewhere that it helps Sciforums in some obscure way if you do. I'll have to ask Porfiry, though. Nonetheless, it's pretty cool to be getting the Washington Post pushing articles in the Google ads.
I just thought we should take a topic aside to dump various poll statistics into. Maybe in the end someone will notice a quirky trend. But I think at least we can build a reasonably absurd testament to the insanity of the American political process.
And yes, that is something I'd like to focus on: the American election coming in November.
I'm starting to wonder if it's possible "perfect" the art of the "scientific poll" so that you can create a predictable split result every time. Talk about a way to screw the electorate ....
At any rate, the critical number from the Post article above is an inside-the-margin lead for John Kerry on the question of voter confidence in the War on Terror.
Exactly half the country now approves of the way Bush is managing the U.S. war on terrorism, down 13 percentage points since April, according to the poll. Barely two months ago, Bush comfortably led Kerry, the presumptive Democratic nominee, by 21 points when voters were asked which man they trusted to deal with the terrorist threat. Today the country is evenly divided, with 48 percent preferring Kerry and 47 percent favoring Bush.
With fewer than 10 days before the United States turns over governing power to Iraq, the survey shows that Americans are coming to a mixed judgment about the costs and benefits of the war. Campaign advisers to both Bush and Kerry believe voters' conclusions about Bush and Iraq will play a decisive role in determining the outcome of the November election.
Source: Washington Post (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A58293-2004Jun21.html)
The poll was taken shortly before the handover of Iraq to the interim government, and I think marks a reasonable starting point for our record. We'll see what the handover brings in terms of confidence, but I haven't seen much of a headline marking a dramatic increase in public confidence.
The period from the handover to the conventions may be meaningless, though, even compared to the usual meaninglessness of any given period in terms of polling. I have a feeling the common theme between the Democratic and GOP gigs will be subtly played: Redefinition.
_____________________
• Morin, Richard, and Dan Balz. "Bush Loses Advantage in War on Terrorism." Washington Post, June 22, 2004; page A01. See http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A58293-2004Jun21.html
Note: While everything else about this topic will generally be normal insofar as anything is normal around here, I have snagged the above link from a Google advert at the top of the page. The citation at the end of this post will contain the straight link to the Washington Post website, but ... well, if you read the article, click the above link. I have it in the back of my mind somewhere that it helps Sciforums in some obscure way if you do. I'll have to ask Porfiry, though. Nonetheless, it's pretty cool to be getting the Washington Post pushing articles in the Google ads.
I just thought we should take a topic aside to dump various poll statistics into. Maybe in the end someone will notice a quirky trend. But I think at least we can build a reasonably absurd testament to the insanity of the American political process.
And yes, that is something I'd like to focus on: the American election coming in November.
I'm starting to wonder if it's possible "perfect" the art of the "scientific poll" so that you can create a predictable split result every time. Talk about a way to screw the electorate ....
At any rate, the critical number from the Post article above is an inside-the-margin lead for John Kerry on the question of voter confidence in the War on Terror.
Exactly half the country now approves of the way Bush is managing the U.S. war on terrorism, down 13 percentage points since April, according to the poll. Barely two months ago, Bush comfortably led Kerry, the presumptive Democratic nominee, by 21 points when voters were asked which man they trusted to deal with the terrorist threat. Today the country is evenly divided, with 48 percent preferring Kerry and 47 percent favoring Bush.
With fewer than 10 days before the United States turns over governing power to Iraq, the survey shows that Americans are coming to a mixed judgment about the costs and benefits of the war. Campaign advisers to both Bush and Kerry believe voters' conclusions about Bush and Iraq will play a decisive role in determining the outcome of the November election.
Source: Washington Post (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A58293-2004Jun21.html)
The poll was taken shortly before the handover of Iraq to the interim government, and I think marks a reasonable starting point for our record. We'll see what the handover brings in terms of confidence, but I haven't seen much of a headline marking a dramatic increase in public confidence.
The period from the handover to the conventions may be meaningless, though, even compared to the usual meaninglessness of any given period in terms of polling. I have a feeling the common theme between the Democratic and GOP gigs will be subtly played: Redefinition.
_____________________
• Morin, Richard, and Dan Balz. "Bush Loses Advantage in War on Terrorism." Washington Post, June 22, 2004; page A01. See http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A58293-2004Jun21.html