ENSO, droughts, and prediction capabilities

Discussion in 'Earth Science' started by thefountainhed, Jan 25, 2004.

  1. thefountainhed Fully Realized Valued Senior Member

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    I am attempting a paper on the predictability of droughts in Eithiopia using data from the Terra satelitte. Is anyone here aware of current research in drought prediction using remote sensing or any new developments linking the emergence of drought conditions with other factors thus far unconsidered? A link perhaps to a good site, references to papers and the like will do. Thanks.
     
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  3. thefountainhed Fully Realized Valued Senior Member

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    Supposing I have a way to relate the absence or presence of clouds over a area to the reflected sunlight on a surface, can I assume an isolated microatmosphere and not take into effect external factors? Thus, if an ENSO event precipates a drought condition in an area, can I assume that linkage between the two follows the ENSO event and I can therefore only consider the microatmospheric conditions? Also, is anyone aware of any research done elsewhere that considers the ENSO index in predicting drought conditions? A current paper would do.
     
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  5. Edufer Tired warrior Registered Senior Member

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    There are many good research in the field of El Niño/ENSO events. Go here:
    http://mitosyfraudes.8k.com/Calen/NinoLand.html and read: SOLAR FORCING OF EL NIÑO AND LA NIÑA by Dr. Theodor Landscheidt, from the Schroeter Institute for Research in Cycles of Solar Activity. (Proceedings of the 1st Solar & Space Weather Euroconference, 'The Solar Cycle and Terrestrial Climate', Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Tenerife, Spain, 25-29 September 2000 (ESA SP-463, December 2000)

    Also: http://www.john-daly.com/theodor/DecadalEnso.htm "Decadal-Scale Variations
    in El-Niño Intensity",

    Also: http://www.john-daly.com/solar/US-drought.htm "Long-Range Forecast of U.S. Drought Based on Solar Activity".

    I hope these links will help you in your work. In that website (Still Waiting for Greenhouse", you will find valuable material. Just search the "guests papers" section at: http://www.john-daly.com/guests.htm
     
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  7. thefountainhed Fully Realized Valued Senior Member

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    Thank you very much. )
     

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